Western Kentucky at Missouri State Game Matchup
Western Kentucky logo Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Missouri State BearsMissouri State logo
Saturday, September 27th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Plaster Sports Complex - Springfield, MO

 
Hilltoppers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Tyson Helton (48 - 31)
Avg Score : 25 - 25 (25 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#52)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)
MOST coming off BYE
Our Line: Western Kentucky -5.5    (SP+ -9)
PPG only: WKU: 34 - MOST: 29 (63)
WKU Win prob: 49% | Cover: 49%
WKU Travel: 376 miles
Bears (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Ryan Beard (12 - 11)
Avg Score : 34 - 42 (34 - 42 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.2 - 8.8 (#81)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
 
Western Kentucky's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/23 Western Kentucky vs Sam Houston
Sat 8/30 Western Kentucky vs North Alabama
Sat 9/6 Western Kentucky at Toledo
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Western Kentucky vs Nevada
Sat 9/27 Western Kentucky at Missouri State
Fri 10/3 Western Kentucky at Delaware
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14 Western Kentucky vs Florida International
Tue 10/21 Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech
Sat 11/1 Western Kentucky vs New Mexico State
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee
Sat 11/22 Western Kentucky at LSU
Sat 11/29 Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 9
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Missouri State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/30 Missouri State at USC
Sat 9/6 Missouri State at Marshall
Sat 9/13 Missouri State vs SMU
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Missouri State vs Western Kentucky
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/8 Missouri State at Middle Tennessee
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/22 Missouri State at New Mexico State
Wed 10/29 Missouri State vs Florida International
Sat 11/8 Missouri State at Liberty
Sat 11/15 Missouri State vs UTEP
Sat 11/22 Missouri State at Kennesaw State
Sat 11/29 Missouri State vs Louisiana Tech
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

WKU's OC Will Friend vs MOST's DC L.D. Scott     MOST's OC Nick Petrino vs WKU's DC Tyson Summers

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WKU#66 (.19)42% (83)24.938% (117)2.78 (108)11045% (33)2653.83 (78)#95 (.21)45% (102)24.648% (113)40% (61)3.66 (54)41.31.71.5
MOST0%340%000%000%420%0%0000
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WKU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MOST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WKU Offense1424.924.941.8%3.831.7193741102653.545%55%38%45%16%.19
MOST Defense142420%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WKU Defense1424.633.944.7%3.661.5 - - - - - 63%36%48%40%13%.21
MOST Offense134340%00000000%0%0%0%0%

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Western Kentucky1427:5219.341%59%4.141.31.71.54.91.6029.7
Missouri State10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WKU Offense1445% (104)38% (117)31.1109.73.514 (98).01 (121)2.78 (108)69% (100)11% (87)0.95 (77)
MOST Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WKU Defense1463% (134)48% (113) - - - - .19 (103)3.36 (116)77% (93)9% (88)0.9 (35)
MOST Offense10%0%000000%0%0

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WKU Offense1455% (27)45% (33)22.133.5264.67.91228 (15)12 (85).36 (28)1.6 (59)33% (91)30% (92).29 (89)6% (55)1.9 (100)
MOST Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WKU Defense1436% (1)40% (61) - - - - - - 10 (66).29 (99)1.8 (128)28% (116)29% (46).23 (37)3% (132)2.1 (92)
MOST Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0

Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: -19.38 #124
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: 4.32 #118
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: 23.70 #118
2025 Talent Rating: 438.00 #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Western Kentucky's 2025 Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
Western Kentucky's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.6 #94
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.7 #108
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #70

Western Kentucky's SP+ Ratings
Western Kentucky's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.6 #94
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.7 #108
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #70

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 371.82
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: -19.38   Missouri State: -24.94

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: -7.6   Missouri State: -16.6




Missouri State's Power Ratings
Missouri State's Power Rating: -24.94 #134
Missouri State's Offense Rating: 4.77 #116
Missouri State's Defense Rating: 31.71 #134
2025 Talent Rating: 164.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Missouri State's 2025 Expected Record: 2.2 - 8.8

Missouri State's SP+ Ratings
Missouri State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.6 #123
Missouri State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #72
Missouri State's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.2 #134

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 371.82
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93


Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.9
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.9

Western Kentucky's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Western Kentucky 34
Missouri State 29

Projected Total Points: 63
Missouri State Scoring
Offense: 34 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 42 PPG
Defense at Home: 42

Missouri State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Missouri State000 Overs
Western Kentucky000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#124) Western Kentucky Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -19.38 #124
Offense Rating: 4.32 #118
Defense Rating: 23.70 #118
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.6 #94
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.7 #108
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #70
Talent Rating: 438.00 #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2

Western Kentucky     Ratings Matchup     Missouri State
Power #124
#134
Off #118
#116
Def #118
#134
Talent #114
#129
SP+ #94
#123
SP+ Off #108
#72
SP+ Def #70
#134

Weather Forecast
Playing in Plaster Sports Complex
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: WKU | MOST
Depth Chart: WKU | MOST
Rosters: WKU | MOST
(#134) Missouri State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -24.94 #134
Offense Rating: 4.77 #116
Defense Rating: 31.71 #134
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.6 #123
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #72
Defense SP+ Rating: 43.2 #134
Talent Rating: 164.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 2.2 - 8.8





  
Western Kentucky's OC Will Friend
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
George Hart III4420424.630
Jalen Hampton115705.214
K.D. Hutchinson85106.442
John Cannon117017.017
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jairus Mack19418022.059
K.D. Hutchinson26392315.174
Noah Meyers7123117.624
Kody Epps85416.817
Missouri State's OC Nick Petrino
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jacob Clark25736970%35482669.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Shomari Lawrence4717713.815
Iverson Young85907.428
Jmariyae Robinson84735.923
Reggie Branch61803.010
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jmariyae Robinson38585415.444
Lance Mason32569617.882
James BlackStrain23353315.337
Alred Luke14194213.932

Western Kentucky's DC Tyson Summers
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Lewis432005
Kent Robinson334204
Braxton Myers312002
Anthony Brackenridge241020
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kent Robinson334204
Jayden Gray143211
Dominic Oliver152110
Jaylen Lewis432005
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Lewis432005
Kent Robinson334204
Braxton Myers312002
Missouri State's DC L.D. Scott
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Todric McGee161000
Michael Teason62000
Kanye Young53200
Dylan Simmons31002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kanye Young53200
Todric McGee161000
Michael Teason62000
Dylan Simmons31002
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dylan Simmons31002
Ryan Williams20001
Todric McGee161000