New Mexico State at New Mexico Game Matchup
New Mexico State logo New Mexico State Aggies at New Mexico LobosNew Mexico logo
Saturday, September 27th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
University Stadium - Albuquerque, NM

 
Aggies (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Tony Sanchez (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 22 - 36 (13 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 6.5 (#58)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)
NMSU coming off BYE
UNM coming off BYE
Our Line: New Mexico State -9.5    (SP+ -6.5)
PPG only: NMSU: 30 - UNM: 35 (65)
NMSU Win prob: 49% | Cover: 49%
NMSU Travel: 193 miles
Lobos (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jason Eck (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 38 (37 - 39 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 1.1 - 1.9 (#91)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
 
New Mexico State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/30 New Mexico State vs Bryant
Sat 9/6 New Mexico State vs Tulsa
Sat 9/13 New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 New Mexico State at New Mexico
Thu 10/2 New Mexico State vs Sam Houston
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14 New Mexico State at Liberty
Wed 10/22 New Mexico State vs Missouri State
Sat 11/1 New Mexico State at Western Kentucky
Sat 11/8 New Mexico State vs Kennesaw State
Sat 11/15 New Mexico State at Tennessee
Sat 11/22 New Mexico State at UTEP
Sat 11/29 New Mexico State vs Middle Tennessee
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
New Mexico's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/30 New Mexico at Michigan
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 New Mexico at UCLA
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 New Mexico vs New Mexico State
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

NMSU's OC Tyler Wright vs UNM's DC Spence Nowinsky     UNM's OC Luke Schleusner vs NMSU's DC Joe Morris

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NMSU#119 (.08)39% (106)21.646% (41)3.33 (21)17930% (132)1433.8 (82)#115 (.26)41% (65)36.343% (69)40% (68)3.7 (60)48.11.90.8
UNM#15 (.31)49% (10)33.553% (3)3.81 (1)25444% (40)2313.83 (79)#132 (.34)50% (132)3850% (125)51% (131)4.64 (128)81.51.60.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NMSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NMSU Offense1221.612.639.3%3.81.9193221791434.458%42%46%30%18%.08
UNM Defense123838.850.4%4.640.8 - - - - - 54%46%50%51%14%.34
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NMSU Defense1236.338.441.3%3.70.8 - - - - - 50%50%43%40%12%.26
UNM Offense1233.537.448.9%3.831.6254852542316.752%48%53%44%12%.31

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
New Mexico State1229:2619.338%38%5.448.11.90.83.81.2127
New Mexico1228:5224.743%68%9.381.51.60.83.91.6126.8
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NMSU Offense1258% (20)46% (41)41.3179.34.416 (90).11 (82)3.33 (21)77% (37)11% (103)0.98 (62)
UNM Defense1254% (106)50% (125) - - - - .2 (108)3.26 (103)71% (52)8% (118)0.97 (64)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NMSU Defense1250% (55)43% (69) - - - - .18 (98)3.17 (92)58% (5)7% (134)1.04 (95)
UNM Offense1252% (55)53% (3)37.82546.737 (6).37 (1)3.81 (1)81% (19)5% (1)1.1 (21)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NMSU Offense1242% (116)30% (132)11.826.7143.25.412.212 (118)12 (85).05 (128)1.8 (17)33% (100)30% (88).13 (131)7% (104)1.7 (132)
UNM Defense1246% (30)51% (131) - - - - - - 3 (132).51 (132)1.6 (82)26% (132)38% (129).54 (129)6% (80)2.2 (118)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NMSU Defense1250% (75)40% (68) - - - - - - 9 (76).36 (118)1.9 (132)31% (80)29% (40).42 (107)6% (79)2.3 (126)
UNM Offense1248% (77)44% (40)18.832.5230.77.112.312 (118)12 (85).24 (77)1.4 (124)27% (7)37% (11).49 (13)6% (84)1.9 (111)

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: -18.11 #119
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: 4.84 #115
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: 22.95 #114
2025 Talent Rating: 264.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #47
New Mexico State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.5 - 6.5
New Mexico State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 #118
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #106
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #119

New Mexico State's SP+ Ratings
New Mexico State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 #118
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #106
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #119

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 371.82
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: -18.11   New Mexico: -27.54

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: -14.9   New Mexico: -21.5




New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -27.54 #136
New Mexico's Offense Rating: 4.86 #114
New Mexico's Defense Rating: 34.40 #136
2025 Talent Rating: 204.00 #127
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
New Mexico's 2025 Expected Record: 1.1 - 1.9

New Mexico's SP+ Ratings
New Mexico's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.5 #132
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #95
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 45.4 #136

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 462.82
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93


New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.6
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.4

New Mexico State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
New Mexico 35
New Mexico State 30

Projected Total Points: 65
New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.4
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense at Home: 38.8

New Mexico's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/28New Mexico State40New Mexico50New MexicoNew Mexico -9.5New Mexico54.0Over
202309/16New Mexico17New Mexico State27New Mexico StateNew Mexico -2.5New Mexico State52.0Under
202210/15New Mexico State21New Mexico9New Mexico StateNew Mexico -7New Mexico State38.5Under
202109/11New Mexico34New Mexico State25New MexicoNew Mexico -19.5New Mexico State55.5Over
201909/21New Mexico55New Mexico State52New MexicoNew Mexico -4New Mexico State69.0Over
201809/15New Mexico State25New Mexico42New MexicoNew Mexico -3New Mexico60.5Over
201709/09New Mexico28New Mexico State30New Mexico StateNew Mexico -7New Mexico State69.5Under
201609/10New Mexico State32New Mexico31New Mexico StateNew Mexico -11.5New Mexico State62.0Over
201510/03New Mexico38New Mexico State29New MexicoNew Mexico -14New Mexico State65.5Over
201409/20New Mexico State35New Mexico38New MexicoNew Mexico -3NA0
201310/05New Mexico66New Mexico State17New MexicoNew Mexico -7New Mexico0
201209/22New Mexico State14New Mexico27New Mexico
201110/01New Mexico28New Mexico State42New Mexico State
201010/09New Mexico State16New Mexico14New Mexico State
200909/26New Mexico17New Mexico State20New Mexico State
200809/27New Mexico State24New Mexico35New Mexico
200709/08New Mexico44New Mexico State34New Mexico
200609/09New Mexico State28New Mexico34New Mexico
200509/17New Mexico38New Mexico State21New Mexico
200409/25New Mexico State3New Mexico38New Mexico
200309/27New Mexico24New Mexico State17New Mexico
200209/21New Mexico State24New Mexico13New Mexico State
200111/24New Mexico53New Mexico State0New Mexico
200009/15New Mexico State13New Mexico16New Mexico
TeamWinsCoversO/U
New Mexico1636 Overs
New Mexico State873 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 123 - 71 - 52 - 2
Road Teams12 - 127 - 32 - 25 - 1

(#119) New Mexico State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -18.11 #119
Offense Rating: 4.84 #115
Defense Rating: 22.95 #114
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 #118
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #119
Talent Rating: 264.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #47
Expected Record: 5.5 - 6.5

New Mexico State     Ratings Matchup     New Mexico
Power #119
#136
Off #115
#114
Def #114
#136
Talent #125
#127
SP+ #118
#132
SP+ Off #106
#95
SP+ Def #119
#136

Previous Matchups
New Mexico beat New Mexico State last year (50-40)
New Mexico State beat New Mexico in 2023 (27-17)
New Mexico State beat New Mexico in 2022 (21-9)

Weather Forecast
Playing in University Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: NMSU | UNM
Depth Chart: NMSU | UNM
Rosters: NMSU | UNM
(#136) New Mexico Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -27.54 #136
Offense Rating: 4.86 #114
Defense Rating: 34.40 #136
Overall SP+ Rating: -21.5 #132
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 45.4 #136
Talent Rating: 204.00 #127
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 1.1 - 1.9





  
New Mexico State's OC Tyler Wright
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Parker Awad7415947%1079746.8
Santino Marucci4911244%519354.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Seth McGowan15381335.338
Santino Marucci3713113.538
Larenzo McMillan7111115.984
Parker Awad6010911.825
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
TJ Pride34374211.053
Glynn Johnson Jr19346218.254
Seth McGowan23277312.043
Tyler King17236013.936
New Mexico's OC Luke Schleusner
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
DJ McKinney9547935.059
Sol-Jay Maiava-Peters2212415.620
Keagan Johnson1808.08
Isaiah Chavez1101.01
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keagan Johnson29359112.435
Michael Buckley8103012.918
DJ McKinney117907.216
Sol-Jay Maiava-Peters31304.36

New Mexico State's DC Joe Morris
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Martinez943101
Da'Marcus Crosby812003
Sone Aupiu554025
Dakerric Hobbs363016
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Martinez943101
Malaki Ta'ase332152
Justin Beadles204110
Gabe Peterson61100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dakerric Hobbs363016
Sone Aupiu554025
Nicolas Sessions301003
New Mexico's DC Spence Nowinsky
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Randolph Kpai805153
Dmitri Johnson775212
Austin Brawley382002
Gabriel Lopez295111
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dmitri Johnson775212
Randolph Kpai805153
Gabriel Lopez295111
David Scott-Murphy101100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Randolph Kpai805153
Austin Brawley382002
Drew Speech81002