New Mexico State at Western Kentucky Game Matchup
New Mexico State logo New Mexico State Aggies at Western Kentucky HilltoppersWestern Kentucky logo
Saturday, November 1st 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Houchens Industries-L. T. Smith Stadium - Bowling Green, KY  (Conference USA)

 
Aggies (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Tony Sanchez (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 22 - 36 (13 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 6.5 (#58)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)
Our Line: Western Kentucky -0.5    (SP+ -7)
PPG only: NMSU: 23 - WKU: 31 (54)
NMSU Win prob: 49% | Cover: 49%
NMSU Travel: 1195 miles, 1 hrs behind
Hilltoppers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Tyson Helton (48 - 31)
Avg Score : 25 - 25 (26 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#52)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)
 
New Mexico State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/30 New Mexico State vs Bryant
Sat 9/6 New Mexico State vs Tulsa
Sat 9/13 New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 New Mexico State at New Mexico
Thu 10/2 New Mexico State vs Sam Houston
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14 New Mexico State at Liberty
Wed 10/22 New Mexico State vs Missouri State
Sat 11/1 New Mexico State at Western Kentucky
Sat 11/8 New Mexico State vs Kennesaw State
Sat 11/15 New Mexico State at Tennessee
Sat 11/22 New Mexico State at UTEP
Sat 11/29 New Mexico State vs Middle Tennessee
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Western Kentucky's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/23 Western Kentucky vs Sam Houston
Sat 8/30 Western Kentucky vs North Alabama
Sat 9/6 Western Kentucky at Toledo
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Western Kentucky vs Nevada
Sat 9/27 Western Kentucky at Missouri State
Fri 10/3 Western Kentucky at Delaware
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14 Western Kentucky vs Florida International
Tue 10/21 Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech
Sat 11/1 Western Kentucky vs New Mexico State
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee
Sat 11/22 Western Kentucky at LSU
Sat 11/29 Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 9
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

NMSU's OC Tyler Wright vs WKU's DC Tyson Summers     WKU's OC Will Friend vs NMSU's DC Joe Morris

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NMSU#119 (.08)39% (106)21.646% (41)3.33 (21)17930% (132)1433.8 (82)#115 (.26)41% (65)36.343% (69)40% (68)3.7 (60)48.11.90.8
WKU#66 (.19)42% (83)24.938% (117)2.78 (108)11045% (33)2653.83 (78)#95 (.21)45% (102)24.648% (113)40% (61)3.66 (54)41.31.71.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NMSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WKU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NMSU Offense1221.612.639.3%3.81.9193221791434.458%42%46%30%18%.08
WKU Defense1424.613.544.7%3.661.5 - - - - - 63%36%48%40%13%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NMSU Defense1236.338.441.3%3.70.8 - - - - - 50%50%43%40%12%.26
WKU Offense1424.926.341.8%3.831.7193741102653.545%55%38%45%16%.19

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
New Mexico State1229:2619.338%38%5.448.11.90.83.81.2127
Western Kentucky1427:5219.341%59%4.141.31.71.54.91.6029.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NMSU Offense1258% (20)46% (41)41.3179.34.416 (90).11 (82)3.33 (21)77% (37)11% (103)0.98 (62)
WKU Defense1463% (134)48% (113) - - - - .19 (103)3.36 (116)77% (93)9% (88)0.9 (35)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NMSU Defense1250% (55)43% (69) - - - - .18 (98)3.17 (92)58% (5)7% (134)1.04 (95)
WKU Offense1445% (104)38% (117)31.1109.73.514 (98).01 (121)2.78 (108)69% (100)11% (87)0.95 (77)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NMSU Offense1242% (116)30% (132)11.826.7143.25.412.212 (118)12 (85).05 (128)1.8 (17)33% (100)30% (88).13 (131)7% (104)1.7 (132)
WKU Defense1436% (1)40% (61) - - - - - - 10 (66).29 (99)1.8 (128)28% (116)29% (46).23 (37)3% (132)2.1 (92)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NMSU Defense1250% (75)40% (68) - - - - - - 9 (76).36 (118)1.9 (132)31% (80)29% (40).42 (107)6% (79)2.3 (126)
WKU Offense1455% (27)45% (33)22.133.5264.67.91228 (15)12 (85).36 (28)1.6 (59)33% (91)30% (92).29 (89)6% (55)1.9 (100)

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: -18.11 #119
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: 4.84 #115
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: 22.95 #114
2025 Talent Rating: 264.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #47
New Mexico State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.5 - 6.5
New Mexico State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 #118
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #106
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #119

New Mexico State's SP+ Ratings
New Mexico State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 #118
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #106
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #119

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 371.82
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: -18.11   Western Kentucky: -17.38

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: -14.9   Western Kentucky: -7.6




Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: -17.38 #124
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: 4.32 #118
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: 23.70 #118
2025 Talent Rating: 438.00 #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Western Kentucky's 2025 Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2

Western Kentucky's SP+ Ratings
Western Kentucky's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.6 #94
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.7 #108
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #70

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 371.82
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93


New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.6
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.4

New Mexico State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Western Kentucky 31
New Mexico State 23

Projected Total Points: 54
Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.3
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.5

Western Kentucky's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/09New Mexico State28Western Kentucky41Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky -18.0New Mexico State53.5Over
202311/11Western Kentucky29New Mexico State38New Mexico StateWestern Kentucky -4.5New Mexico State55.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Western Kentucky102 Overs
New Mexico State120 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 21 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams2 - 01 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#119) New Mexico State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -18.11 #119
Offense Rating: 4.84 #115
Defense Rating: 22.95 #114
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 #118
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #119
Talent Rating: 264.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #47
Expected Record: 5.5 - 6.5

New Mexico State     Ratings Matchup     Western Kentucky
Power #119
#124
Off #115
#118
Def #114
#118
Talent #125
#114
SP+ #118
#94
SP+ Off #106
#108
SP+ Def #119
#70

Previous Matchups
Western Kentucky beat New Mexico State last year (41-28)
New Mexico State beat Western Kentucky in 2023 (38-29)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Houchens Industries-L. T. Smith Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: NMSU | WKU
Depth Chart: NMSU | WKU
Rosters: NMSU | WKU
(#124) Western Kentucky Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -17.38 #124
Offense Rating: 4.32 #118
Defense Rating: 23.70 #118
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.6 #94
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.7 #108
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #70
Talent Rating: 438.00 #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2





  
New Mexico State's OC Tyler Wright
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Parker Awad7415947%1079746.8
Santino Marucci4911244%519354.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Seth McGowan15381335.338
Santino Marucci3713113.538
Larenzo McMillan7111115.984
Parker Awad6010911.825
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
TJ Pride34374211.053
Glynn Johnson Jr19346218.254
Seth McGowan23277312.043
Tyler King17236013.936
Western Kentucky's OC Will Friend
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
George Hart III4420424.630
Jalen Hampton115705.214
K.D. Hutchinson85106.442
John Cannon117017.017
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jairus Mack19418022.059
K.D. Hutchinson26392315.174
Noah Meyers7123117.624
Kody Epps85416.817

New Mexico State's DC Joe Morris
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Martinez943101
Da'Marcus Crosby812003
Sone Aupiu554025
Dakerric Hobbs363016
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Martinez943101
Malaki Ta'ase332152
Justin Beadles204110
Gabe Peterson61100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dakerric Hobbs363016
Sone Aupiu554025
Nicolas Sessions301003
Western Kentucky's DC Tyson Summers
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Lewis432005
Kent Robinson334204
Braxton Myers312002
Anthony Brackenridge241020
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kent Robinson334204
Jayden Gray143211
Dominic Oliver152110
Jaylen Lewis432005
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Lewis432005
Kent Robinson334204
Braxton Myers312002