Sam Houston at Middle Tennessee Game Matchup

Sam Houston Bearkats at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Johnny Red"" Floyd Stadium"" - Murfreesboro, TN (Conference USA)

Bearkats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Phil Longo (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 24 - 21 (25 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.9 - 9.1 (#79)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)

Our Line: Middle Tennessee -7 (SP+ -4)
PPG only: SHSU: 29 - MTSU: 19 (48)
SHSU Win prob: 49% | Cover: 49%
SHSU Travel: 637 miles

Blue Raiders (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Derek Mason (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 18 - 34 (20 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#64)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Sam Houston's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 8/23	Sam Houston at Western Kentucky
Sat 8/30	Sam Houston vs UNLV
Sat 9/6	Sam Houston at Hawai'i
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	Sam Houston at Texas
Thu 10/2	Sam Houston at New Mexico State
Thu 10/9	Sam Houston vs Jacksonville State
Wed 10/15	Sam Houston vs UTEP
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/28	Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech
Sat 11/8	Sam Houston at Oregon State
Sat 11/15	Sam Houston vs Delaware
Sat 11/22	Sam Houston at Middle Tennessee
Sat 11/29	Sam Houston vs Florida International

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Middle Tennessee's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 8/30	Middle Tennessee vs Austin Peay
Sat 9/6	Middle Tennessee at Wisconsin
Sat 9/13	Middle Tennessee at Nevada
Sat 9/20	Middle Tennessee vs Marshall
Sat 9/27	Middle Tennessee at Kennesaw State
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/8	Middle Tennessee vs Missouri State
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/22	Middle Tennessee at Delaware
Wed 10/29	Middle Tennessee vs Jacksonville State
Sat 11/8	Middle Tennessee vs Florida International
Sat 11/15	Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky
Sat 11/22	Middle Tennessee vs Sam Houston
Sat 11/29	Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

SHSU's OC Zack Patterson vs MTSU's DC Brian Stewart MTSU's OC Bodie Reeder vs SHSU's DC Freddie Aughtry-Lindsay

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SHSU	#115 (.1)	39% (107)	23.8	41% (101)	3.18 (44)	180	38% (105)	168	2.97 (129)	#31 (.11)	42% (71)	20.5	47% (105)	37% (27)	3.84 (75)	37.9	1.2	2.1
MTSU	#107 (.13)	39% (105)	18.1	38% (114)	2.82 (104)	91	40% (82)	261	3 (128)	#129 (.32)	49% (130)	34.3	50% (124)	49% (127)	4.61 (126)	61.3	1.6	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SHSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MTSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SHSU Offense	13	23.8	24.6	39.3%	2.97	1.2	19	349	180	168	4.3	57%	43%	41%	38%	15%	.1
MTSU Defense	12	34.3	32.8	49.4%	4.61	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	50%	49%	14%	.32

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SHSU Defense	13	20.5	23.6	41.8%	3.84	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	47%	37%	17%	.11
MTSU Offense	12	18.1	20.3	39.4%	3	1.6	18	352	91	261	3.2	41%	59%	38%	40%	19%	.13

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Sam Houston	13	32:10	18.8	39%	67%	4.6	37.9	1.2	2.1	5.4	2.2	2	30.4
Middle Tennessee	12	30:15	18.2	38%	48%	7.3	61.3	1.6	0.8	4.6	1.7	1	25.2

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SHSU Offense	13	57% (25)	41% (101)	42.5	180.4	4.3	21 (59)	.1 (84)	3.18 (44)	68% (104)	10% (70)	0.9 (99)
MTSU Defense	12	54% (104)	50% (124)	-	-	-	-	.19 (106)	3.19 (97)	72% (61)	9% (100)	0.97 (59)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SHSU Defense	13	51% (76)	47% (105)	-	-	-	-	.17 (92)	3.37 (119)	75% (74)	10% (56)	0.83 (9)
MTSU Offense	12	41% (123)	38% (114)	27.9	90.5	3.2	10 (122)	.04 (110)	2.82 (104)	56% (132)	11% (102)	0.98 (63)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SHSU Offense	13	43% (113)	38% (105)	16.7	26.8	168.2	6.3	10.1	15 (98)	9 (48)	.13 (114)	1.5 (106)	30% (51)	24% (126)	.13 (130)	5% (46)	2 (95)
MTSU Defense	12	46% (33)	49% (127)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (117)	.47 (129)	1.6 (90)	27% (127)	34% (109)	.53 (128)	5% (101)	2.3 (128)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SHSU Defense	13	48% (57)	37% (27)	-	-	-	-	-	-	16 (10)	.06 (6)	1.4 (9)	32% (58)	25% (11)	.21 (32)	6% (58)	1.8 (12)
MTSU Offense	12	59% (11)	40% (82)	22.8	35.6	261.1	7.3	11.5	16 (87)	10 (63)	.19 (95)	1.5 (102)	32% (85)	25% (123)	.17 (121)	7% (112)	1.9 (114)

Sam Houston's Power Ratings
Sam Houston's Power Rating: -25.11 #132
Sam Houston's Offense Rating: 1.88 #124
Sam Houston's Defense Rating: 26.99 #131
2025 Talent Rating: 358.00 #123
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Sam Houston's 2025 Expected Record: 2.9 - 9.1
Sam Houston's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.5 #111
Sam Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.4 #117
Sam Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #103

Sam Houston's SP+ Ratings
Sam Houston's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.5 #111
Sam Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.4 #117
Sam Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #103

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 371.82
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93

Power Ratings Matchup
Sam Houston: -25.11 Middle Tennessee: -18.13

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Sam Houston: -13.5 Middle Tennessee: -17.5

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -18.13 #126
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: 6.96 #105
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: 27.09 #133
2025 Talent Rating: 392.00 #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Middle Tennessee's SP+ Ratings
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.5 #126
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #125
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #115

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 371.82
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93

Sam Houston Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.6
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.6

Sam Houston's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Sam Houston 29
Middle Tennessee 19

Projected Total Points: 48

Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 18.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.3
Defense: 34.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.8

Middle Tennessee's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/25	Sam Houston	23	Middle Tennessee	20	Sam Houston	Middle Tennessee -3.5	Sam Houston	49.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Middle Tennessee	0	0	0 Overs
Sam Houston	1	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0

(#132) Sam Houston Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -25.11 #132
Offense Rating: 1.88 #124
Defense Rating: 26.99 #131
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.5 #111
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.4 #117
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #103
Talent Rating: 358.00 #123
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 2.9 - 9.1

Sam Houston Ratings Matchup Middle Tennessee

Power #132

#126

Off #124

#105

Def #131

#133

Talent #123

#118

SP+ #111

#126

SP+ Off #117

#125

SP+ Def #103

#115

Previous Matchups
Sam Houston beat Middle Tennessee in 2023 (23-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Johnny Red"" Floyd Stadium""
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: SHSU | MTSU
Depth Chart: SHSU | MTSU
Rosters: SHSU | MTSU

(#126) Middle Tennessee Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -18.13 #126
Offense Rating: 6.96 #105
Defense Rating: 27.09 #133
Overall SP+ Rating: -17.5 #126
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #125
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #115
Talent Rating: 392.00 #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Sam Houston's OC Zack Patterson

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Hunter Watson	152	253	60%	1598	11	8	6.3
Mabrey Mettauer	1	1	100%	2	0	0	2.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Hunter Watson	152	623	7	4.1	46
Elijah Green	29	201	5	6.9	51
Zach Hrbacek	11	33	0	3.0	17
Qua'Vez Humphreys	3	21	0	7.0	10

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Qua'Vez Humphreys	18	362	4	20.1	67
Michael Phoenix II	13	205	3	15.8	50
Jay Rockwell	6	50	0	8.3	18
Malik Phillips	2	25	0	12.5	13

Middle Tennessee's OC Bodie Reeder

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Nick Vattiato	269	418	64%	3092	16	10	7.4
Roman Gagliano	4	9	44%	41	0	0	4.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jekail Middlebrook	60	273	2	4.6	24
Nick Vattiato	86	77	1	0.9	16
Roman Gagliano	2	5	0	2.5	9
Cam'Ron Lacy	1	1	0	1.0	1

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Myles Butler	30	366	3	12.2	61
Cam'Ron Lacy	20	190	0	9.5	44
Jekail Middlebrook	22	163	1	7.4	24
Gamarion Carter	12	123	0	10.3	27

Sam Houston's DC Freddie Aughtry-Lindsay

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cecil Powell	24	1	0	0	1
Chatavies Johnson	15	1	0	0	0
Emon Allen	12	2	0	0	1
Matthew Aribisala	5	1	1	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Matthew Aribisala	5	1	1	1	0
Cecil Powell	24	1	0	0	1
Qua'Vez Humphreys	1	0	0	0	0
Railyn Adams	1	0	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Cecil Powell	24	1	1
AJ Edwards	1	0	1
Emon Allen	12	2	1

Middle Tennessee's DC Brian Stewart

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Parker Hughes	69	2	0	1	0
Anthony Bynum	60	7	3	1	1
Shakai Woods	42	4	1	1	0
Brandon Buckner	37	4	3	5	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brandon Buckner	37	4	3	5	0
Anthony Bynum	60	7	3	1	1
Damonte Smith	25	4	2	3	1
James Gillespie	10	2	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Aidan Butts	10	2	2	0	2
Abdul Muhammad	12	0	0	0	2
Damonte Smith	25	4	2	3	1