Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State Game Matchup

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at New Mexico State Aggies

Saturday, November 29th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Aggie Memorial Stadium - Las Cruces, NM (Conference USA)

Blue Raiders (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Derek Mason (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 18 - 34 (14 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#64)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)

Our Line: New Mexico State -4 (SP+ -3)
PPG only: MTSU: 27 - NMSU: 28 (55)
MTSU Win prob: 49% | Cover: 49%
MTSU Travel: 1190 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Aggies (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Tony Sanchez (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 22 - 36 (31 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 6.5 (#58)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Middle Tennessee's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 8/30	Middle Tennessee vs Austin Peay
Sat 9/6	Middle Tennessee at Wisconsin
Sat 9/13	Middle Tennessee at Nevada
Sat 9/20	Middle Tennessee vs Marshall
Sat 9/27	Middle Tennessee at Kennesaw State
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/8	Middle Tennessee vs Missouri State
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/22	Middle Tennessee at Delaware
Wed 10/29	Middle Tennessee vs Jacksonville State
Sat 11/8	Middle Tennessee vs Florida International
Sat 11/15	Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky
Sat 11/22	Middle Tennessee vs Sam Houston
Sat 11/29	Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

New Mexico State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 8/30	New Mexico State vs Bryant
Sat 9/6	New Mexico State vs Tulsa
Sat 9/13	New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	New Mexico State at New Mexico
Thu 10/2	New Mexico State vs Sam Houston
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14	New Mexico State at Liberty
Wed 10/22	New Mexico State vs Missouri State
Sat 11/1	New Mexico State at Western Kentucky
Sat 11/8	New Mexico State vs Kennesaw State
Sat 11/15	New Mexico State at Tennessee
Sat 11/22	New Mexico State at UTEP
Sat 11/29	New Mexico State vs Middle Tennessee

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

MTSU's OC Bodie Reeder vs NMSU's DC Joe Morris NMSU's OC Tyler Wright vs MTSU's DC Brian Stewart

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MTSU	#107 (.13)	39% (105)	18.1	38% (114)	2.82 (104)	91	40% (82)	261	3 (128)	#129 (.32)	49% (130)	34.3	50% (124)	49% (127)	4.61 (126)	61.3	1.6	0.8
NMSU	#119 (.08)	39% (106)	21.6	46% (41)	3.33 (21)	179	30% (132)	143	3.8 (82)	#115 (.26)	41% (65)	36.3	43% (69)	40% (68)	3.7 (60)	48.1	1.9	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MTSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NMSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MTSU Offense	12	18.1	14.2	39.4%	3	1.6	18	352	91	261	3.2	41%	59%	38%	40%	19%	.13
NMSU Defense	12	36.3	34.8	41.3%	3.7	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	43%	40%	12%	.26

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MTSU Defense	12	34.3	35.8	49.4%	4.61	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	50%	49%	14%	.32
NMSU Offense	12	21.6	30.5	39.3%	3.8	1.9	19	322	179	143	4.4	58%	42%	46%	30%	18%	.08

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Middle Tennessee	12	30:15	18.2	38%	48%	7.3	61.3	1.6	0.8	4.6	1.7	1	25.2
New Mexico State	12	29:26	19.3	38%	38%	5.4	48.1	1.9	0.8	3.8	1.2	1	27

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MTSU Offense	12	41% (123)	38% (114)	27.9	90.5	3.2	10 (122)	.04 (110)	2.82 (104)	56% (132)	11% (102)	0.98 (63)
NMSU Defense	12	50% (55)	43% (69)	-	-	-	-	.18 (98)	3.17 (92)	58% (5)	7% (134)	1.04 (95)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MTSU Defense	12	54% (104)	50% (124)	-	-	-	-	.19 (106)	3.19 (97)	72% (61)	9% (100)	0.97 (59)
NMSU Offense	12	58% (20)	46% (41)	41.3	179.3	4.4	16 (90)	.11 (82)	3.33 (21)	77% (37)	11% (103)	0.98 (62)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MTSU Offense	12	59% (11)	40% (82)	22.8	35.6	261.1	7.3	11.5	16 (87)	10 (63)	.19 (95)	1.5 (102)	32% (85)	25% (123)	.17 (121)	7% (112)	1.9 (114)
NMSU Defense	12	50% (75)	40% (68)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (76)	.36 (118)	1.9 (132)	31% (80)	29% (40)	.42 (107)	6% (79)	2.3 (126)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MTSU Defense	12	46% (33)	49% (127)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (117)	.47 (129)	1.6 (90)	27% (127)	34% (109)	.53 (128)	5% (101)	2.3 (128)
NMSU Offense	12	42% (116)	30% (132)	11.8	26.7	143.2	5.4	12.2	12 (118)	12 (85)	.05 (128)	1.8 (17)	33% (100)	30% (88)	.13 (131)	7% (104)	1.7 (132)

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -20.13 #126
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: 6.96 #105
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: 27.09 #133
2025 Talent Rating: 392.00 #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.5 #126
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #125
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #115

Middle Tennessee's SP+ Ratings
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.5 #126
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #125
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #115

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 371.82
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93

Power Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -20.13 New Mexico State: -16.11

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -17.5 New Mexico State: -14.9

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: -16.11 #119
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: 4.84 #115
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: 22.95 #114
2025 Talent Rating: 264.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #47
New Mexico State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.5 - 6.5

New Mexico State's SP+ Ratings
New Mexico State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 #118
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #106
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #119

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 371.82
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93

Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 18.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.2
Defense: 34.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.8

Middle Tennessee's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
New Mexico State 28
Middle Tennessee 27

Projected Total Points: 55

New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.5
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.8

New Mexico State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/23	Middle Tennessee	21	New Mexico State	36	New Mexico State	Middle Tennessee -3.5	New Mexico State	54.0	Over
2023	11/04	New Mexico State	13	Middle Tennessee	7	New Mexico State	New Mexico State -3.0	New Mexico State	55.5	Under
2004	11/06	New Mexico State	44	Middle Tennessee	10	New Mexico State
2003	10/11	Middle Tennessee	35	New Mexico State	18	Middle Tennessee
2002	11/02	New Mexico State	24	Middle Tennessee	21	New Mexico State
2001	10/27	Middle Tennessee	39	New Mexico State	35	Middle Tennessee

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
New Mexico State	4	2	1 Overs
Middle Tennessee	2	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 5	1 - 1	0 - 0	1 - 1

(#126) Middle Tennessee Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -20.13 #126
Offense Rating: 6.96 #105
Defense Rating: 27.09 #133
Overall SP+ Rating: -17.5 #126
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #125
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #115
Talent Rating: 392.00 #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Middle Tennessee Ratings Matchup New Mexico State

Power #126

#119

Off #105

#115

Def #133

#114

Talent #118

#125

SP+ #126

#118

SP+ Off #125

#106

SP+ Def #115

#119

Previous Matchups
New Mexico State beat Middle Tennessee last year (36-21)
New Mexico State beat Middle Tennessee in 2023 (13-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Aggie Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MTSU | NMSU
Depth Chart: MTSU | NMSU
Rosters: MTSU | NMSU

(#119) New Mexico State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -16.11 #119
Offense Rating: 4.84 #115
Defense Rating: 22.95 #114
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 #118
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #119
Talent Rating: 264.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #47
Expected Record: 5.5 - 6.5

Middle Tennessee's OC Bodie Reeder

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Nick Vattiato	269	418	64%	3092	16	10	7.4
Roman Gagliano	4	9	44%	41	0	0	4.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jekail Middlebrook	60	273	2	4.6	24
Nick Vattiato	86	77	1	0.9	16
Roman Gagliano	2	5	0	2.5	9
Cam'Ron Lacy	1	1	0	1.0	1

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Myles Butler	30	366	3	12.2	61
Cam'Ron Lacy	20	190	0	9.5	44
Jekail Middlebrook	22	163	1	7.4	24
Gamarion Carter	12	123	0	10.3	27

New Mexico State's OC Tyler Wright

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Parker Awad	74	159	47%	1079	7	4	6.8
Santino Marucci	49	112	44%	519	3	5	4.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Seth McGowan	153	813	3	5.3	38
Santino Marucci	37	131	1	3.5	38
Larenzo McMillan	7	111	1	15.9	84
Parker Awad	60	109	1	1.8	25

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
TJ Pride	34	374	2	11.0	53
Glynn Johnson Jr	19	346	2	18.2	54
Seth McGowan	23	277	3	12.0	43
Tyler King	17	236	0	13.9	36

Middle Tennessee's DC Brian Stewart

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Parker Hughes	69	2	0	1	0
Anthony Bynum	60	7	3	1	1
Shakai Woods	42	4	1	1	0
Brandon Buckner	37	4	3	5	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brandon Buckner	37	4	3	5	0
Anthony Bynum	60	7	3	1	1
Damonte Smith	25	4	2	3	1
James Gillespie	10	2	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Aidan Butts	10	2	2	0	2
Abdul Muhammad	12	0	0	0	2
Damonte Smith	25	4	2	3	1

New Mexico State's DC Joe Morris

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyler Martinez	94	3	1	0	1
Da'Marcus Crosby	81	2	0	0	3
Sone Aupiu	55	4	0	2	5
Dakerric Hobbs	36	3	0	1	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyler Martinez	94	3	1	0	1
Malaki Ta'ase	33	2	1	5	2
Justin Beadles	20	4	1	1	0
Gabe Peterson	6	1	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Dakerric Hobbs	36	3	1	6
Sone Aupiu	55	4	2	5
Nicolas Sessions	30	1	0	3