Arkansas State Red Wolves (@AStateFB)
Butch Jones (5th year) (18-31)
Record: 0 - 0 | Prediction: 0.9 - 2.1 (#93) | SOS: (#107)
Power (#106) | Off (#64) | Def (#132) | '25 Roster
Record: 0 - 0 | Prediction: 0.9 - 2.1 (#93) | SOS: (#107)
| Arkansas State's 2025 Schedule | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||
| Sat 9/6 | Arkansas State vs Arkansas | ||||
| Sat 9/13 | Arkansas State vs Iowa State | ||||
| Sat 9/20 | Arkansas State at Kennesaw State | ||||
Schedule Rating: 2.37 (#107)
Future 2026 Schedule
| Arkansas State's 2024 Schedule | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | |
| Sat 8/31 | Arkansas State vs Central Arkansas | W 34 - 31 | |||
| Sat 9/7 | Arkansas State vs Tulsa | -9.5 | 65.5 | W 28 - 24 | |
| Sat 9/14 | Arkansas State at Michigan | +22.0 | 47.5 | L 18 - 28 | |
| Sat 9/21 | Arkansas State at Iowa State | +20.5 | 52.0 | L 7 - 52 | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||
| Sat 10/5 | Arkansas State vs South Alabama | +2.5 | 62.5 | W 18 - 16 | |
| Sat 10/12 | Arkansas State at Texas State | +13.5 | 66.0 | L 9 - 41 | |
| Sat 10/19 | Arkansas State at Southern Miss | -7.0 | 57.0 | W 44 - 28 | |
| Sat 10/26 | Arkansas State vs Troy | -8.5 | 50.0 | W 34 - 31 | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||
| Sat 11/9 | Arkansas State at Louisiana | +14.0 | 60.0 | L 19 - 55 | |
| Sat 11/16 | Arkansas State at Georgia State | +2.5 | 60.0 | W 27 - 20 | |
| Sat 11/23 | Arkansas State vs UL Monroe | -3.0 | 51.5 | W 28 - 21 | |
| Sat 11/30 | Arkansas State vs Old Dominion | +5.5 | 58.5 | L 32 - 40 | |
| Thu 12/26 | Arkansas State vs Bowling Green | +10.5 | 54.5 | W 38 - 31 | |
2024 Record: 8 - 5 (6 - 6 - 0) (SBC: 5 - 3)
2025 class: 170.59 points #78
2024 class: 167.29 points #77
2023 class: 167.46 points #75
2022 class: 166.63 points #67
2021 class: 132.61 points #106
Average Class Ranking: # #81
Average Recruiting Points: 160.92
2024 class: 167.29 points #77
2023 class: 167.46 points #75
2022 class: 166.63 points #67
2021 class: 132.61 points #106
Average Class Ranking: # #81
Average Recruiting Points: 160.92
Class Averages
Sun Belt Class: 143.93 #98
Group of 5 Class: 134.77 #102
FBS Class: 179.02 #69
Sun Belt Class: 143.93 #98
Group of 5 Class: 134.77 #102
FBS Class: 179.02 #69
2020 class: 148.75 points #92
2019 class: 143.36 points #95
2018 class: 148.03 points #88
2017 class: 114.91 points #111
2016 class: 132.18 points #90
Average Class Ranking: # #95
Average Recruiting Points: 137.45
2019 class: 143.36 points #95
2018 class: 148.03 points #88
2017 class: 114.91 points #111
2016 class: 132.18 points #90
Average Class Ranking: # #95
Average Recruiting Points: 137.45
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Raynor | 259 | 420 | 62% | 2783 | 16 | 10 | 6.6 |
| Ethan Crawford | 50 | 120 | 42% | 849 | 0 | 7 | 7.1 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Quez Cross | 115 | 638 | 2 | 5.5 | 49 |
| Jaylen Raynor | 137 | 387 | 3 | 2.8 | 40 |
| Kenyon Clay | 84 | 387 | 7 | 4.6 | 70 |
| Ethan Crawford | 97 | 209 | 3 | 2.2 | 21 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Rucker | 69 | 1053 | 7 | 15.3 | 79 |
| Ja'Quez Cross | 35 | 228 | 1 | 6.5 | 20 |
| Kenyon Clay | 21 | 225 | 1 | 10.7 | 37 |
| Hunter Summers | 9 | 116 | 2 | 12.9 | 32 |
Returning Production
Overall Returning Production: 46% (#97)
Offense Returning Production: 67% (#31)
Defense Returning Production: 26% (#130)
Transfer Portal
2025 Portal Class (#125)
12 Commits, 84 Avg Rating
0% of 2025 Roster are from Transfer Portal
Team Talent
2025 Talent Rating: 640.00 (#82)
2024 (#65) | 2023 (#81) | 2022 (#88) | 2021 (#82)
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 566.5
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93
Overall Returning Production: 46% (#97)
Offense Returning Production: 67% (#31)
Defense Returning Production: 26% (#130)
Transfer Portal
2025 Portal Class (#125)
12 Commits, 84 Avg Rating
0% of 2025 Roster are from Transfer Portal
Team Talent
2025 Talent Rating: 640.00 (#82)
2024 (#65) | 2023 (#81) | 2022 (#88) | 2021 (#82)
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 566.5
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93
2025 Roster
High School: | JUCO:
Blue Chip Ratio: 0.01
Blue Chip Players:
High School: | JUCO:
Blue Chip Ratio: 0.01
Blue Chip Players:
2024 Roster
High School: | JUCO:
Blue Chip Ratio: 0
Blue Chip Players:
High School: | JUCO:
Blue Chip Ratio: 0
Blue Chip Players:
2023 Roster
High School: | JUCO:
Blue Chip Ratio: 0
Blue Chip Players:
High School: | JUCO:
Blue Chip Ratio: 0
Blue Chip Players:
2022 Roster
High School: | JUCO:
Blue Chip Ratio: 0
Blue Chip Players:
High School: | JUCO:
Blue Chip Ratio: 0
Blue Chip Players:
2025 - 2022 Records (vs Spread)
2025 Record: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0)
2025 Conf Record: 0 - 0
2024 Record: 8 - 5 (6 - 6 - 0)
2024 Conf Record: 5 - 3
2023 Record: 6 - 7 (6 - 6 - 1)
2023 Conf Record: 4 - 4
2022 Record: 3 - 9 (7 - 5 - 0)
2022 Conf Record: 1 - 7
Four Year Record: 17 - 21
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 19 - 17 - 1
Four Year Conference Record: 10 - 14
2025 Record: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0)
2025 Conf Record: 0 - 0
2024 Record: 8 - 5 (6 - 6 - 0)
2024 Conf Record: 5 - 3
2023 Record: 6 - 7 (6 - 6 - 1)
2023 Conf Record: 4 - 4
2022 Record: 3 - 9 (7 - 5 - 0)
2022 Conf Record: 1 - 7
Four Year Record: 17 - 21
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 19 - 17 - 1
Four Year Conference Record: 10 - 14
2021 - 2018 Records (vs Spread)
2021 Record: 2 - 10 (6 - 6 - 0)
2021 Conf Record: 0 - 0
2020 Record: 4 - 7 (6 - 5 - 0)
2020 Conf Record: 2 - 6
2019 Record: 8 - 5 (6 - 7 - 0)
2019 Conf Record: 5 - 3
2018 Record: 8 - 5 (6 - 7 - 0)
2018 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Eight Year Record: 39 - 48
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 43 - 42 - 1
Eight Year Conference Record: 24 - 33
2021 Record: 2 - 10 (6 - 6 - 0)
2021 Conf Record: 0 - 0
2020 Record: 4 - 7 (6 - 5 - 0)
2020 Conf Record: 2 - 6
2019 Record: 8 - 5 (6 - 7 - 0)
2019 Conf Record: 5 - 3
2018 Record: 8 - 5 (6 - 7 - 0)
2018 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Eight Year Record: 39 - 48
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 43 - 42 - 1
Eight Year Conference Record: 24 - 33
| Arkansas State Recent Bowl History | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Bowl | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result |
| 2024 | Ventures Bowl | Arkansas State vs Bowling Green | +10.5 | 54.5 | W 38 - 31 |
| 2023 | Camellia Bowl | Arkansas State vs Northern Illinois | -2.5 | 54.0 | L 19 - 21 |
| 2019 | Camellia Bowl | Arkansas State vs Florida International | +1.5 | 60.0 | W 34 - 26 |
| 2018 | N/A | Arkansas State vs Nevada | +1.5 | 56.5 | L 13 - 16 |
| 2017 | Camellia Bowl | Arkansas State vs Middle Tennessee | -3.5 | 61.0 | L 30 - 35 |
| 2016 | Cure Bowl | Arkansas State vs UCF | -6.5 | 51.0 | W 31 - 13 |
| 2015 | Orleans Bowl | Arkansas State vs Louisiana Tech | -1.0 | L 28 - 47 | |
ARST's OC Keith Heckendorf - DC Rob Harley
Power Ranking Stats (2024)
More Stats (2024)
Overall Stats (2024)
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
Power Ranking Stats (2024)
| Teams | Offense PPA | Offense Success | Offense Pts Per Opp | Avg Start FP | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Defense PPA | Defense Success | Defense Pts Per Opp | Opponent FP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | .17 (81) | 41% (92) | 3.96 (63) | 27.6 (106) | 40% | 75% | .31 (126) | 48% (124) | 4.62 (127) | 27 (22) |
| Teams | Offense PPA | Offense Success | Offense Pts Per Opp | Avg Start FP | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Defense PPA | Defense Success | Defense Pts Per Opp | Opponent FP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | .17 (82) | 42% (73) | 3.21 (114) | 30.4 (43) | 36% | 35% | .25 (110) | 42% (72) | 4.05 (92) | 26.5 (19) |
More Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 13 | 26:56 (98) | 20.3 (52) | 40% | 75% | 5.1 (42) | 47.8 (63) | 1.3 (61) | 1.4 | 4.5 (96) | 1.4 (108) | 1 |
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 13 | 26:17 (118) | 19.8 (66) | 36% | 35% | 6.2 (88) | 60.9 (114) | 1 (19) | 1.2 | 6.2 (28) | 1.8 (79) | 4 |
Overall Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PPG | Home | Road | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Offense | 13 | 25.8 | 29 | 20.7 | 41% (92) | 3.96 (63) | 1.3 | 20 | 357 | 148 | 210 | 4.3 | 48% (83) | 52% (49) | 43% (85) | 39% (95) | 16% (80) | .17 (81) |
| 2024 Defense | 13 | 32.2 | 27.2 | 37.3 | 48% (124) | 4.62 (127) | 1.4 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% (86) | 48% (50) | 51% (131) | 44% (110) | 15% (80) | .31 (126) |
| Teams | Games | PPG | Home | Road | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 Offense | 13 | 27.1 | 34.8 | 20.7 | 41.6% (73) | 3.21 (114) | 1 | 20 | 374 | 148 | 225 | 4.2 | 50% (72) | 49% (65) | 43% (71) | 41% (80) | 16% (69) | .17 (82) |
| 2023 Defense | 13 | 30.4 | 26 | 36.3 | 42.3% (72) | 4.05 (92) | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | - | 50% (65) | 49% (73) | 44% (80) | 41% (59) | 15% (103) | .25 (110) |
Run Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Offense | 13 | 48% (83) | 43% (85) | 34.8 | 147.8 | 4.3 | 16 (90) | .12 (74) | 3.01 (77) | 73% (71) | 9% (48) | 0.9 (100) |
| 2024 Defense | 13 | 52% (86) | 51% (131) | - | - | - | - | .28 (131) | 3.45 (127) | 73% (64) | 9% (82) | 1.02 (85) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 Offense | 13 | 50% (72) | 43% (71) | 35.3 | 148.2 | 4.2 | 20 (61) | .16 (66) | 3.12 (65) | 69% (104) | 9% (58) | 1.05 (43) |
| 2023 Defense | 13 | 50% (65) | 44% (80) | - | - | - | - | .17 (88) | 3.09 (66) | 85% (124) | 10% (71) | 1.01 (78) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Offense | 13 | 52% (49) | 39% (95) | 19.6 | 31.6 | 209.6 | 6.6 | 10.7 | 17 (79) | 9 (48) | .21 (91) | 1.5 (88) | 31% (66) | 32% (56) | .39 (44) | 8% (115) | 2 (97) |
| 2024 Defense | 13 | 48% (50) | 44% (110) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 14 (23) | .35 (115) | 1.7 (103) | 29% (106) | 32% (89) | .51 (125) | 6% (76) | 2.3 (122) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 Offense | 13 | 49% (65) | 41% (80) | 16 | 28.5 | 225.5 | 7.9 | 14.1 | 17 (85) | 9 (40) | .24 (83) | 1.7 (40) | 31% (59) | 31% (68) | .28 (88) | 6% (87) | 2.1 (53) |
| 2023 Defense | 13 | 49% (73) | 41% (59) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8 (100) | .34 (105) | 1.6 (59) | 31% (83) | 24% (11) | .3 (66) | 5% (111) | 2.2 (116) |
Team Notes
Injury Notes
Staff/Schedule Notes
Power Ratings Overall: -12.25 #105
Offense: 14.80 #61
Defense: 27.05 #132
SP+ Overall: -12.1 #106
SP+ Offense: 27.4 #66
SP+ Defense: 39.5 #131
Offense: 14.80 #61
Defense: 27.05 #132
SP+ Overall: -12.1 #106
SP+ Offense: 27.4 #66
SP+ Defense: 39.5 #131
Returning Prod ARST returns their '24 starting QB (93%)
OL Starters back: 4, Prod: 80% #19
Rush Prod: 71% #37 | Rec Prod: 54% #55
Returning Production: 46% #97
Offense: 67% #31 | Defense: 26% #130
Front 7 Back: 36% - Secondary: 9%
OL Starters back: 4, Prod: 80% #19
Rush Prod: 71% #37 | Rec Prod: 54% #55
Returning Production: 46% #97
Offense: 67% #31 | Defense: 26% #130
Front 7 Back: 36% - Secondary: 9%
Roster Team Talent #82 Blue Chips: 1% #97
Offense Talent #81 Defense Talent #78
Crootin: Class #78 4 YR Rank #81
Portal Class #125 12 players, 84 Avg
19% of Roster from Portal, 13% TY
30 New Players, 35% of '25 Roster #61
Offense Talent #81 Defense Talent #78
Crootin: Class #78 4 YR Rank #81
Portal Class #125 12 players, 84 Avg
19% of Roster from Portal, 13% TY
30 New Players, 35% of '25 Roster #61
2025 Schedule Record Prediction: 0.9 - 2.1 #93
Schedule Rating: 2.37 #107
View ARST's 2025 Predicted Schedule Results
Opps: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Schedule Rating: 2.37 #107
View ARST's 2025 Predicted Schedule Results
Opps: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Scoring Scoring: 25.8 - 32.2 (27 - 30 LY)
Scoring at Home: 29 - 27 | Road: 21 - 37
OC: Keith Heckendorf - been OC for 3 years
DC: Rob Harley - been DC for 3 years
Scoring at Home: 29 - 27 | Road: 21 - 37
OC: Keith Heckendorf - been OC for 3 years
DC: Rob Harley - been DC for 3 years
Records 2024 Record: 8 - 5 (6 - 6 - 0) (SBC: 5 - 3)
2023 Record: 6 - 7 (6 - 6 - 1) (SBC: 4 - 4)
2022 Record: 3 - 9 (7 - 5 - 0) (SBC: 1 - 7)
4 Yr Record: 17 - 21 | 8 Yr Record: 39 - 48)
2023 Record: 6 - 7 (6 - 6 - 1) (SBC: 4 - 4)
2022 Record: 3 - 9 (7 - 5 - 0) (SBC: 1 - 7)
4 Yr Record: 17 - 21 | 8 Yr Record: 39 - 48)