Baylor Bears (@BUFootball)
Dave Aranda (6th year) (31-29)
Record: 0 - 0 | Prediction: 7.6 - 4.4 (#29) | SOS: (#35)
Power (#35) | Off (#19) | Def (#54) | '25 Roster
Record: 0 - 0 | Prediction: 7.6 - 4.4 (#29) | SOS: (#35)
| Baylor's 2025 Schedule | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | |
| Sat 8/30 | Baylor vs Auburn | ||||
| Sat 9/6 | Baylor at SMU | ||||
| Sat 9/13 | Baylor vs Samford | ||||
| Sat 9/20 | Baylor vs Arizona State | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Baylor at Oklahoma State | ||||
| Sat 10/4 | Baylor vs Kansas State | ||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Baylor at TCU | ||||
| Sat 10/25 | Baylor at Cincinnati | ||||
| Sat 11/1 | Baylor vs UCF | ||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Baylor vs Utah | ||||
| Sat 11/22 | Baylor at Arizona | ||||
| Sat 11/29 | Baylor vs Houston | ||||
Schedule Rating: 72.72 (#35)
Future 2026 Schedule
| Baylor's 2024 Schedule | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | |
| Sat 8/31 | Baylor vs Tarleton State | -33.5 | 53.5 | W 45 - 3 | |
| Sat 9/7 | Baylor at Utah | +14.5 | 52.5 | L 12 - 23 | |
| Sat 9/14 | Baylor vs Air Force | -17.5 | 40.5 | W 31 - 3 | |
| Sat 9/21 | Baylor at Colorado | +2.5 | 52.5 | L 31 - 38 | |
| Sat 9/28 | Baylor vs BYU | -3.0 | 47.0 | L 28 - 34 | |
| Sat 10/5 | Baylor at Iowa State | +13.0 | 45.0 | L 21 - 43 | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||
| Sat 10/19 | Baylor at Texas Tech | +4.5 | 56.0 | W 59 - 35 | |
| Sat 10/26 | Baylor vs Oklahoma State | -7.0 | 64.5 | W 38 - 28 | |
| Sat 11/2 | Baylor vs TCU | -2.5 | 64.0 | W 37 - 34 | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||
| Sat 11/16 | Baylor at West Virginia | -2.0 | 60.0 | W 49 - 35 | |
| Sat 11/23 | Baylor at Houston | -7.0 | 51.0 | W 20 - 10 | |
| Sat 11/30 | Baylor vs Kansas | +2.5 | 62.5 | W 45 - 17 | |
| Tue 12/31 | Baylor vs LSU | -3.0 | 62.5 | L 31 - 44 | |
2024 Record: 8 - 5 (9 - 4 - 0) (B12: 6 - 3)
2025 class: 210.40 points #36
2024 class: 179.04 points #67
2023 class: 210.81 points #34
2022 class: 208.03 points #37
2021 class: 190.18 points #44
Average Class Ranking: # #44
Average Recruiting Points: 199.69
2024 class: 179.04 points #67
2023 class: 210.81 points #34
2022 class: 208.03 points #37
2021 class: 190.18 points #44
Average Class Ranking: # #44
Average Recruiting Points: 199.69
Class Averages
Big 12 Class: 200.62 #49
Power 5 Class: 224.59 #49
FBS Class: 179.02 #69
Big 12 Class: 200.62 #49
Power 5 Class: 224.59 #49
FBS Class: 179.02 #69
2020 class: 181.12 points #54
2019 class: 203.39 points #35
2018 class: 215.02 points #29
2017 class: 193.36 points #40
2016 class: 191.99 points #40
Average Class Ranking: # #40
Average Recruiting Points: 196.98
2019 class: 203.39 points #35
2018 class: 215.02 points #29
2017 class: 193.36 points #40
2016 class: 191.99 points #40
Average Class Ranking: # #40
Average Recruiting Points: 196.98
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sawyer Robertson | 229 | 368 | 62% | 3071 | 28 | 8 | 8.3 |
| Walker White | 2 | 5 | 40% | 18 | 0 | 0 | 3.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryson Washington | 175 | 1028 | 12 | 5.9 | 51 |
| Dawson Pendergrass | 121 | 671 | 6 | 5.5 | 55 |
| Richard Reese | 58 | 241 | 1 | 4.2 | 28 |
| Sawyer Robertson | 63 | 230 | 4 | 3.7 | 45 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Cameron | 52 | 754 | 10 | 14.5 | 47 |
| Kole Wilson | 43 | 630 | 4 | 14.7 | 53 |
| Michael Trigg | 30 | 395 | 3 | 13.2 | 42 |
| Bryson Washington | 22 | 217 | 1 | 9.9 | 23 |
Returning Production
Overall Returning Production: 68% (#11)
Offense Returning Production: 72% (#14)
Defense Returning Production: 65% (#25)
Transfer Portal
2025 Portal Class (#41)
13 Commits, 86.6 Avg Rating
0% of 2025 Roster are from Transfer Portal
Team Talent
2025 Talent Rating: 820.00 (#41)
2024 (#39) | 2023 (#49) | 2022 (#41) | 2021 (#41)
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 774.38
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93
Overall Returning Production: 68% (#11)
Offense Returning Production: 72% (#14)
Defense Returning Production: 65% (#25)
Transfer Portal
2025 Portal Class (#41)
13 Commits, 86.6 Avg Rating
0% of 2025 Roster are from Transfer Portal
Team Talent
2025 Talent Rating: 820.00 (#41)
2024 (#39) | 2023 (#49) | 2022 (#41) | 2021 (#41)
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 774.38
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93
2025 Roster
High School: | JUCO:
Blue Chip Ratio: 0.06
Blue Chip Players:
High School: | JUCO:
Blue Chip Ratio: 0.06
Blue Chip Players:
2024 Roster
High School: | JUCO:
Blue Chip Ratio: 0
Blue Chip Players:
High School: | JUCO:
Blue Chip Ratio: 0
Blue Chip Players:
2023 Roster
High School: | JUCO:
Blue Chip Ratio: 0
Blue Chip Players:
High School: | JUCO:
Blue Chip Ratio: 0
Blue Chip Players:
2022 Roster
High School: | JUCO:
Blue Chip Ratio: 0
Blue Chip Players:
High School: | JUCO:
Blue Chip Ratio: 0
Blue Chip Players:
2025 - 2022 Records (vs Spread)
2025 Record: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0)
2025 Conf Record: 0 - 0
2024 Record: 8 - 5 (9 - 4 - 0)
2024 Conf Record: 6 - 3
2023 Record: 3 - 9 (3 - 8 - 1)
2023 Conf Record: 2 - 7
2022 Record: 6 - 7 (7 - 6 - 0)
2022 Conf Record: 4 - 5
Four Year Record: 17 - 21
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 19 - 18 - 1
Four Year Conference Record: 12 - 15
2025 Record: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0)
2025 Conf Record: 0 - 0
2024 Record: 8 - 5 (9 - 4 - 0)
2024 Conf Record: 6 - 3
2023 Record: 3 - 9 (3 - 8 - 1)
2023 Conf Record: 2 - 7
2022 Record: 6 - 7 (7 - 6 - 0)
2022 Conf Record: 4 - 5
Four Year Record: 17 - 21
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 19 - 18 - 1
Four Year Conference Record: 12 - 15
2021 - 2018 Records (vs Spread)
2021 Record: 12 - 2 (10 - 4 - 0)
2021 Conf Record: 0 - 0
2020 Record: 2 - 7 (3 - 4 - 2)
2020 Conf Record: 2 - 7
2019 Record: 11 - 3 (9 - 5 - 0)
2019 Conf Record: 8 - 2
2018 Record: 7 - 6 (6 - 6 - 1)
2018 Conf Record: 4 - 5
Eight Year Record: 49 - 39
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 47 - 37 - 4
Eight Year Conference Record: 38 - 31
2021 Record: 12 - 2 (10 - 4 - 0)
2021 Conf Record: 0 - 0
2020 Record: 2 - 7 (3 - 4 - 2)
2020 Conf Record: 2 - 7
2019 Record: 11 - 3 (9 - 5 - 0)
2019 Conf Record: 8 - 2
2018 Record: 7 - 6 (6 - 6 - 1)
2018 Conf Record: 4 - 5
Eight Year Record: 49 - 39
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 47 - 37 - 4
Eight Year Conference Record: 38 - 31
| Baylor Recent Bowl History | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Bowl | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result |
| 2024 | Texas Bowl | Baylor vs LSU | -3.0 | 62.5 | L 31 - 44 |
| 2022 | Forces Bowl | Baylor vs Air Force | -3.5 | 42.0 | L 15 - 30 |
| 2021 | Sugar Bowl | Baylor vs Ole Miss | +1.0 | 60.5 | W 21 - 7 |
| 2019 | Sugar Bowl | Baylor vs Georgia | +4.0 | 44.0 | L 14 - 26 |
| 2018 | Texas Bowl | Baylor vs Vanderbilt | +4.0 | 56.5 | W 45 - 38 |
| 2016 | Cactus Bowl | Baylor vs Boise State | +10.0 | 71.0 | W 31 - 12 |
| 2015 | Athletic Bowl | Baylor vs North Carolina | -3.5 | W 49 - 38 | |
BAY's OC Jake Spavital - DC Matt Powledge
Power Ranking Stats (2024)
More Stats (2024)
Overall Stats (2024)
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
Power Ranking Stats (2024)
| Teams | Offense PPA | Offense Success | Offense Pts Per Opp | Avg Start FP | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Defense PPA | Defense Success | Defense Pts Per Opp | Opponent FP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | .25 (31) | 47% (24) | 4.28 (30) | 31.5 (18) | 44% | 61% | .18 (74) | 39% (38) | 3.85 (77) | 25.9 (7) |
| Teams | Offense PPA | Offense Success | Offense Pts Per Opp | Avg Start FP | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Defense PPA | Defense Success | Defense Pts Per Opp | Opponent FP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | .15 (90) | 39% (102) | 3.12 (118) | 28.6 (98) | 36% | 46% | .32 (130) | 46% (118) | 4.36 (116) | 31.4 (114) |
More Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 13 | 25:48 (117) | 20.6 (45) | 44% | 61% | 5.8 (75) | 58.1 (105) | 1 (30) | 1.6 | 5.1 (68) | 1.8 (65) | 2 |
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 12 | 31:42 (64) | 19.8 (87) | 36% | 46% | 4.1 (7) | 28.9 (3) | 1.3 (35) | 1.3 | 5 (95) | 1.5 (113) | 2 |
Overall Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PPG | Home | Road | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Offense | 13 | 34.4 | 37.3 | 32 | 46.8% (24) | 4.28 (30) | 1 | 21 | 401 | 174 | 227 | 5 | 52% (61) | 48% (75) | 46% (37) | 48% (14) | 12% (17) | .25 (31) |
| 2024 Defense | 13 | 26.7 | 19.8 | 30.7 | 39.4% (38) | 3.85 (77) | 1.6 | - | - | - | - | - | 54% (107) | 46% (29) | 38% (14) | 42% (78) | 15% (83) | .18 (74) |
| Teams | Games | PPG | Home | Road | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 Offense | 12 | 23.1 | 20.9 | 27.5 | 39.5% (102) | 3.12 (118) | 1.3 | 20 | 378 | 115 | 263 | 3.3 | 46% (99) | 54% (31) | 40% (107) | 39% (90) | 18% (98) | .15 (90) |
| 2023 Defense | 12 | 33.3 | 29.4 | 41.3 | 45.7% (118) | 4.36 (116) | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 54% (114) | 45% (21) | 46% (98) | 47% (123) | 17% (55) | .32 (130) |
Run Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Offense | 13 | 52% (61) | 46% (37) | 35.1 | 174.3 | 5 | 23 (52) | .18 (41) | 3.19 (43) | 77% (43) | 7% (9) | 1.01 (50) |
| 2024 Defense | 13 | 54% (107) | 38% (14) | - | - | - | - | .11 (64) | 3.03 (74) | 82% (122) | 9% (84) | 1.03 (92) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 Offense | 12 | 46% (99) | 40% (107) | 34.4 | 114.8 | 3.3 | 13 (108) | .09 (101) | 2.99 (91) | 74% (63) | 12% (103) | 1.03 (53) |
| 2023 Defense | 12 | 54% (114) | 46% (98) | - | - | - | - | .24 (115) | 3.27 (103) | 70% (51) | 11% (53) | 1.16 (121) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Offense | 13 | 48% (75) | 48% (14) | 17.2 | 27.8 | 227.1 | 8.2 | 13.2 | 29 (12) | 9 (48) | .37 (22) | 1.6 (49) | 29% (29) | 36% (24) | .37 (55) | 6% (54) | 2 (91) |
| 2024 Defense | 13 | 46% (29) | 42% (78) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 13 (31) | .26 (80) | 1.7 (99) | 34% (39) | 31% (77) | .38 (97) | 6% (81) | 2.1 (82) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 Offense | 12 | 54% (31) | 39% (90) | 21.9 | 36.8 | 263 | 7.1 | 12 | 15 (96) | 7 (21) | .22 (90) | 1.6 (79) | 34% (109) | 26% (103) | .18 (111) | 6% (77) | 1.8 (123) |
| 2023 Defense | 12 | 45% (21) | 47% (123) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7 (111) | .47 (131) | 1.7 (107) | 30% (101) | 38% (129) | .52 (130) | 6% (75) | 2.2 (102) |
Team Notes
Injury Notes
Staff/Schedule Notes
Power Ratings Overall: 11.77 #33
Offense: 22.79 #21
Defense: 11.02 #50
SP+ Overall: 8.0 #36
SP+ Offense: 34.6 #17
SP+ Defense: 26.6 #57
Offense: 22.79 #21
Defense: 11.02 #50
SP+ Overall: 8.0 #36
SP+ Offense: 34.6 #17
SP+ Defense: 26.6 #57
Returning Prod BAY returns their '24 starting QB (89%)
OL Starters back: 4, Prod: 81% #18
Rush Prod: 94% #15 | Rec Prod: 61% #44
Returning Production: 68% #11
Offense: 72% #14 | Defense: 65% #25
Front 7 Back: 51% - Secondary: 79%
OL Starters back: 4, Prod: 81% #18
Rush Prod: 94% #15 | Rec Prod: 61% #44
Returning Production: 68% #11
Offense: 72% #14 | Defense: 65% #25
Front 7 Back: 51% - Secondary: 79%
Roster Team Talent #41 Blue Chips: 6% #47
Offense Talent #54 Defense Talent #37
Crootin: Class #36 4 YR Rank #44
Portal Class #41 13 players, 87 Avg
20% of Roster from Portal, 13% TY
33 New Players, 34% of '25 Roster #74
Offense Talent #54 Defense Talent #37
Crootin: Class #36 4 YR Rank #44
Portal Class #41 13 players, 87 Avg
20% of Roster from Portal, 13% TY
33 New Players, 34% of '25 Roster #74
2025 Schedule Record Prediction: 7.6 - 4.4 #29
Schedule Rating: 72.72 #35
View BAY's 2025 Predicted Schedule Results
Opps: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg: 1, Bad: 3, Poor: 1
Schedule Rating: 72.72 #35
View BAY's 2025 Predicted Schedule Results
Opps: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg: 1, Bad: 3, Poor: 1
Scoring Scoring: 34.4 - 26.7 (23 - 33 LY)
Scoring at Home: 37 - 20 | Road: 32 - 31
OC: Jake Spavital - in his second season
DC: Matt Powledge - been DC for 3 years
Scoring at Home: 37 - 20 | Road: 32 - 31
OC: Jake Spavital - in his second season
DC: Matt Powledge - been DC for 3 years
Records 2024 Record: 8 - 5 (9 - 4 - 0) (B12: 6 - 3)
2023 Record: 3 - 9 (3 - 8 - 1) (B12: 2 - 7)
2022 Record: 6 - 7 (7 - 6 - 0) (B12: 4 - 5)
4 Yr Record: 17 - 21 | 8 Yr Record: 49 - 39)
2023 Record: 3 - 9 (3 - 8 - 1) (B12: 2 - 7)
2022 Record: 6 - 7 (7 - 6 - 0) (B12: 4 - 5)
4 Yr Record: 17 - 21 | 8 Yr Record: 49 - 39)