Texas Tech at Baylor Game Matchup
Texas Tech logo Texas Tech Red Raiders at Baylor BearsBaylor logo
Saturday, October 7th 2023 (8:00 PM EDT)
Texas Tech -2.5 (59.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Texas Tech 39 - Baylor: 14  (Big 12)

 
Red Raiders (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Joey McGuire (9 - 7)
Avg Score : 38 - 35 (31 - 33 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -2    (SP+ -12.5)
PPG only: TTU: 32 - BAY: 35 (67)
TTU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
TTU Travel: 311 miles
Bears (3 - 9) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach Dave Aranda (21 - 18)
Avg Score : 34 - 27 (37 - 20 @ Home)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Texas Tech's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Texas Tech at Wyoming-13.050.5L 33 - 35
Sat 9/9 Texas Tech vs Oregon+4.570.0L 30 - 38
Sat 9/16 Texas Tech vs Tarleton State-36.575.5W 41 - 3
Sat 9/23 Texas Tech at West Virginia-6.053.5L 13 - 20
Sat 9/30 Texas Tech vs Houston-8.552.0W 49 - 28
Sat 10/7 Texas Tech at Baylor-2.559.5W 39 - 14
Sat 10/14 Texas Tech vs Kansas State-1.057.0L 21 - 38
Sat 10/21 Texas Tech at BYU-3.049.0L 14 - 27
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/2 Texas Tech vs TCU-2.559.5W 35 - 28
Sat 11/11 Texas Tech at Kansas+3.561.5W 16 - 13
Sat 11/18 Texas Tech vs UCF-2.059.0W 24 - 23
Fri 11/24 Texas Tech at Texas+16.553.5L 7 - 57
Sat 12/16 Texas Tech vs California-3.554.5W 34 - 14
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Baylor's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Baylor vs Texas State-26.558.5L 31 - 42
Sat 9/9 Baylor vs Utah+7.046.5L 13 - 20
Sat 9/16 Baylor vs Long Island University-44.054.0W 30 - 7
Sat 9/23 Baylor vs Texas+17.549.5L 6 - 38
Sat 9/30 Baylor at UCF+8.056.5W 36 - 35
Sat 10/7 Baylor vs Texas Tech+2.559.5L 14 - 39
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Baylor at Cincinnati+2.551.5W 32 - 29
Sat 10/28 Baylor vs Iowa State+3.047.0L 18 - 30
Sat 11/4 Baylor vs Houston-3.058.5L 24 - 25
Sat 11/11 Baylor at Kansas State+20.555.5L 25 - 59
Sat 11/18 Baylor at TCU+13.062.0L 17 - 42
Sat 11/25 Baylor vs West Virginia+6.553.5L 31 - 34
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

TTU's OC Zach Kittley vs BAY's DC Matt Powledge     BAY's OC Jeff Grimes vs TTU's DC Tim DeRuyter

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TTU.2142%37.647%3.2715938%3023.92.1640%34.842%39%3.5144.31.91.7
BAY.2245%34.447%3.2118244%2314.35.245%26.745%44%4.12411.41.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TTU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BAY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TTU Offense1337.631.441.8%3.921.927462159302444%56%47%38%17%.21
BAY Defense1326.719.844.7%4.121.5 - - - - - 51%49%45%44%16%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TTU Defense1334.832.840.1%3.511.7 - - - - - 51%48%42%39%15%.16
BAY Offense1334.437.345.1%4.351.4234141822314.455%44%47%44%13%.22

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas Tech1329:5926.536%64%5.744.31.91.76.32.2130.9
Baylor1331:3022.740%64%4.8411.41.54.61.8230.2
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TTU Offense1344%47%40.4159.5428.293.2778%10%1.11
BAY Defense1351%45% - - - - .133.0576%8%0.88
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TTU Defense1351%42% - - - - .132.8864%10%1.06
BAY Offense1355%47%41.2182.44.434.213.2179%9%1.08

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TTU Offense1356%38%26.843.8302.16.911.32618.161.533%32%.47%1.9
BAY Defense1349%44% - - - - - - 13.281.529%37%.517%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TTU Defense1348%39% - - - - - - 9.231.733%33%.395%2
BAY Offense1344%44%1930.2231.57.712.21911.291.530%33%.344%2

Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: #NR
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: #NR
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: #NR
2023 Talent Rating: 696.00 #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Texas Tech's 2023 Expected Record: -
Texas Tech's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7 #52
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #53
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #61

Texas Tech's SP+ Ratings
Texas Tech's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7 #52
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #53
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #61

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech:    Baylor: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: 3.7   Baylor: -8.8




Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: 2 #NR
Baylor's Offense Rating: #NR
Baylor's Defense Rating: #NR
2023 Talent Rating: 696.00 #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Baylor's 2023 Expected Record: -

Baylor's SP+ Ratings
Baylor's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.8 #98
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #78
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #105

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 37.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.4
Defense: 34.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Texas Tech's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Baylor 35
Texas Tech 32


Projected Total Points: 67
Baylor Scoring
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.3
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.8

Baylor's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Record at home: 1 - 7
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 6 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19Texas Tech35Baylor59BaylorTexas Tech -4.5Baylor56.0Over
202310/07Baylor14Texas Tech39Texas TechTexas Tech -2.5Texas Tech59.5Under
202210/29Texas Tech17Baylor45BaylorTexas Tech -1.5Baylor61.0Over
202111/27Baylor27Texas Tech24BaylorBaylor -14Texas Tech51.5Under
202011/14Texas Tech24Baylor23Texas TechTexas Tech -1Push54.5Under
201910/12Baylor33Texas Tech30BaylorBaylor -10.5Texas Tech58.5Over
201811/24Texas Tech24Baylor35BaylorTexas Tech -6Baylor63.5Under
201711/11Baylor24Texas Tech38Texas TechTexas Tech -9.5Texas Tech67.5Under
201611/25Texas Tech54Baylor35Texas TechBaylor -2.5Texas Tech83.0Over
201510/03Baylor63Texas Tech35BaylorBaylor -15.5Baylor88.0Over
201411/29Texas Tech46Baylor48BaylorBaylor -21.5Texas Tech0
201311/16Baylor63Texas Tech34BaylorBaylor -27Baylor0
201211/24Texas Tech45Baylor52Baylor
201111/26Baylor66Texas Tech42Baylor
201010/09Texas Tech45Baylor38Texas Tech
200911/28Baylor13Texas Tech20Texas Tech
200811/29Texas Tech35Baylor28Texas Tech
200711/03Baylor7Texas Tech38Texas Tech
200611/04Texas Tech55Baylor21Texas Tech
200510/29Baylor0Texas Tech28Texas Tech
200411/06Texas Tech42Baylor17Texas Tech
200311/08Baylor14Texas Tech62Texas Tech
200211/02Texas Tech62Baylor11Texas Tech
200110/27Baylor19Texas Tech63Texas Tech
200010/06Texas Tech28Baylor0Texas Tech
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Baylor1055 Overs
Texas Tech1565 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 124 - 72 - 52 - 2
Road Teams12 - 137 - 42 - 25 - 2

(#NR) Texas Tech Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7 #52
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #53
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #61
Talent Rating: 696.00 #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

Texas Tech     Ratings Matchup     Baylor
Power #NR
#NR
Off #NR
#NR
Def #NR
#NR
Talent #49
#49
SP+ #52
#98
SP+ Off #53
#78
SP+ Def #61
#105

Rematch from Week 6
Texas Tech 2.5 (59.5)
Texas Tech won at Baylor this year (39-14)

Previous Matchups
Baylor beat Texas Tech last year (59-35)
Texas Tech beat Baylor in 2023 (39-14)
Baylor beat Texas Tech in 2022 (45-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in McLane Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 67° - Wind: 9 mph


Team Information
Injuries: TTU | BAY
Depth Chart: TTU | BAY
Rosters: TTU | BAY
(#NR) Baylor Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2 #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.8 #98
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #78
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #105
Talent Rating: 696.00 #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Expected Record: -





  
Texas Tech's OC Zach Kittley
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Baylor's OC Jeff Grimes
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

Texas Tech's DC Tim DeRuyter
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Baylor's DC Matt Powledge
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD