Houston at Baylor Game Matchup

Saturday, November 4th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Baylor -3 (58.5) (-122) Open: -5.0
Houston 25 - Baylor: 24 (Big 12)

Cougars (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dana Holgorsen (28 - 22)
Avg Score : 14 - 23 (13 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#122)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

HOU 2nd straight Road Game
BAY 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Baylor -0.5 (SP+ -0.5)
PPG only: HOU: 20 - BAY: 29 (49)
BAY Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
HOU Travel: 165 miles

Bears (3 - 9) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach Dave Aranda (21 - 18)
Avg Score : 34 - 27 (37 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.5 - 8.5 (#126)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Houston's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 9/2	Houston vs UTSA	+2.5	59.5	W 17 - 14
Sat 9/9	Houston at Rice	-7.5	51.0	L 41 - 43
Sat 9/16	Houston vs TCU	+7.5	64.0	L 13 - 36
Sat 9/23	Houston vs Sam Houston	-11.5	37.0	W 38 - 7
Sat 9/30	Houston at Texas Tech	+8.5	52.0	L 28 - 49
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/12	Houston vs West Virginia	+3.0	49.5	W 41 - 39
Sat 10/21	Houston vs Texas	+24.0	60.5	L 24 - 31
Sat 10/28	Houston at Kansas State	+17.5	61.0	L 0 - 41
Sat 11/4	Houston at Baylor	+3.0	58.5	W 25 - 24
Sat 11/11	Houston vs Cincinnati	-3.5	53.5	L 14 - 24
Sat 11/18	Houston vs Oklahoma State	+6.5	56.5	L 30 - 43
Sat 11/25	Houston at UCF	+15.5	61.5	L 13 - 27

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Baylor's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 9/2	Baylor vs Texas State	-26.5	58.5	L 31 - 42
Sat 9/9	Baylor vs Utah	+7.0	46.5	L 13 - 20
Sat 9/16	Baylor vs Long Island University	-44.0	54.0	W 30 - 7
Sat 9/23	Baylor vs Texas	+17.5	49.5	L 6 - 38
Sat 9/30	Baylor at UCF	+8.0	56.5	W 36 - 35
Sat 10/7	Baylor vs Texas Tech	+2.5	59.5	L 14 - 39
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Baylor at Cincinnati	+2.5	51.5	W 32 - 29
Sat 10/28	Baylor vs Iowa State	+3.0	47.0	L 18 - 30
Sat 11/4	Baylor vs Houston	-3.0	58.5	L 24 - 25
Sat 11/11	Baylor at Kansas State	+20.5	55.5	L 25 - 59
Sat 11/18	Baylor at TCU	+13.0	62.0	L 17 - 42
Sat 11/25	Baylor vs West Virginia	+6.5	53.5	L 31 - 34

HOU's OC Dana Holgorsen vs BAY's DC Matt Powledge BAY's OC Jeff Grimes vs HOU's DC Doug Belk

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
HOU	.33	47%	14	46%	3.38	142	49%	314	4.76	.22	43%	22.9	42%	44%	3.86	69.9	1.5	1.2
BAY	.22	45%	34.4	47%	3.21	182	44%	231	4.35	.2	45%	26.7	45%	44%	4.12	41	1.4	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
HOU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BAY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
HOU Offense	13	14	12.6	47.5%	4.76	1.5	23	456	142	314	4.6	42%	57%	46%	49%	14%	.33
BAY Defense	13	26.7	19.8	44.7%	4.12	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	45%	44%	16%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
HOU Defense	13	22.9	25.2	43%	3.86	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	42%	44%	18%	.22
BAY Offense	13	34.4	37.3	45.1%	4.35	1.4	23	414	182	231	4.4	55%	44%	47%	44%	13%	.22

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Houston	13	29:52	23.5	45%	67%	7.8	69.9	1.5	1.2	6.8	2.2	3	30.2
Baylor	13	31:30	22.7	40%	64%	4.8	41	1.4	1.5	4.6	1.8	2	30.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
HOU Offense	13	42%	46%	30.8	142.1	4.6	17	.19	3.38	69%	9%	1.01
BAY Defense	13	51%	45%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.05	76%	8%	0.88

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
HOU Defense	13	47%	42%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.79	83%	12%	1.08
BAY Offense	13	55%	47%	41.2	182.4	4.4	34	.21	3.21	79%	9%	1.08

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
HOU Offense	13	57%	49%	25.9	38.5	314	8.2	12.1	40	10	.48	1.6	30%	40%	.64	5%	2
BAY Defense	13	49%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.28	1.5	29%	37%	.51	7%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
HOU Defense	13	53%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.33	1.6	34%	35%	.38	6%	2.1
BAY Offense	13	44%	44%	19	30.2	231.5	7.7	12.2	19	11	.29	1.5	30%	33%	.34	4%	2

Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: -6.49 #97
Houston's Offense Rating: 13.48 #95
Houston's Defense Rating: 14.57 #113
2023 Talent Rating: 440.00 #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #53
Houston's 2023 Expected Record: 3.80 - 8.20
Houston's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #95
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #73
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.5 #104

Houston's SP+ Ratings
Houston's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #95
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #73
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.5 #104

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Houston: -6.49 Baylor: -5.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Houston: -8.3 Baylor: -8.8

Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: -5.95 #108
Baylor's Offense Rating: 13.22 #99
Baylor's Defense Rating: 17.47 #127
2023 Talent Rating: 696.00 #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #38
Baylor's 2023 Expected Record: 3.50 - 8.50

Baylor's SP+ Ratings
Baylor's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.8 #98
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #78
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #105

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Houston Scoring
Offense: 14 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.6
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.2

Houston's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Baylor 29
Houston 20

Projected Total Points: 49

Baylor Scoring
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.3
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.8

Baylor's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Record at home: 1 - 7
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 6 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/23	Houston	10	Baylor	20	Baylor	Baylor -7	Baylor	51.0	Under
2023	11/04	Baylor	24	Houston	25	Houston	Baylor -3	Houston	58.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Baylor	1	1	0 Overs
Houston	1	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 0	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0

(#97) Houston Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -6.49 #97
Offense Rating: 13.48 #95
Defense Rating: 14.57 #113
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #95
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #73
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.5 #104
Talent Rating: 440.00 #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #53
Expected Record: 3.80 - 8.20

Houston Ratings Matchup Baylor

Power #97

#108

Off #95

#99

Def #113

#127

Talent #103

#49

SP+ #95

#98

SP+ Off #73

#78

SP+ Def #104

#105

Rematch from Week 10
Baylor -3.0 (58.5)
Houston won at Baylor this year (25-24)

Previous Matchups
Baylor beat Houston last year (20-10)
Houston beat Baylor in 2023 (25-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in McLane Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 75° - Wind: 10 mph

Team Information
Injuries: HOU | BAY
Depth Chart: HOU | BAY
Rosters: HOU | BAY

(#108) Baylor Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -5.95 #108
Offense Rating: 13.22 #99
Defense Rating: 17.47 #127
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.8 #98
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #78
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #105
Talent Rating: 696.00 #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #38
Expected Record: 3.50 - 8.50

Houston's OC Dana Holgorsen

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Baylor's OC Jeff Grimes

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Houston's DC Doug Belk

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Baylor's DC Matt Powledge

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD