Baylor at Texas Tech Game Matchup
Baylor logo Baylor Bears at Texas Tech Red RaidersTexas Tech logo
Saturday, October 19th 2024 (4:00 PM EDT)
Texas Tech -4.5 (56.0) (-185)  Open: -7.5
Baylor 59 - Texas Tech: 35  (Big 12)

 
Bears (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Dave Aranda (23 - 25)
Avg Score : 34 - 27 (32 - 31 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 20.5 MPHBAY coming off BYE
TTU coming off BYE
Our Line: -2    (SP+ -4)
PPG only: BAY: 35 - TTU: 32 (67)
TTU Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
BAY Travel: 311 miles
Red Raiders (8 - 5) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Joey McGuire (15 - 11)
Avg Score : 38 - 35 (44 - 36 @ Home)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Baylor's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Baylor vs Tarleton State-33.553.5W 45 - 3
Sat 9/7 Baylor at Utah+14.552.5L 12 - 23
Sat 9/14 Baylor vs Air Force-17.540.5W 31 - 3
Sat 9/21 Baylor at Colorado+2.552.5L 31 - 38
Sat 9/28 Baylor vs BYU-3.047.0L 28 - 34
Sat 10/5 Baylor at Iowa State+13.045.0L 21 - 43
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Baylor at Texas Tech+4.556.0W 59 - 35
Sat 10/26 Baylor vs Oklahoma State-7.064.5W 38 - 28
Sat 11/2 Baylor vs TCU-2.564.0W 37 - 34
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Baylor at West Virginia-2.060.0W 49 - 35
Sat 11/23 Baylor at Houston-7.051.0W 20 - 10
Sat 11/30 Baylor vs Kansas+2.562.5W 45 - 17
Tue 12/31 Baylor vs LSU-3.062.5L 31 - 44
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Texas Tech's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Texas Tech vs Abilene Christian-34.558.5W 52 - 51
Sat 9/7 Texas Tech at Washington State-2.564.5L 16 - 37
Sat 9/14 Texas Tech vs North Texas-10.570.5W 66 - 21
Sat 9/21 Texas Tech vs Arizona State-4.558.5W 30 - 22
Sat 9/28 Texas Tech vs Cincinnati-3.060.0W 44 - 41
Sat 10/5 Texas Tech at Arizona+6.064.0W 28 - 22
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Texas Tech vs Baylor-4.556.0L 35 - 59
Sat 10/26 Texas Tech at TCU+5.066.0L 34 - 35
Sat 11/2 Texas Tech at Iowa State+13.555.0W 23 - 22
Sat 11/9 Texas Tech vs Colorado+5.062.0L 27 - 41
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Texas Tech at Oklahoma State-5.063.5W 56 - 48
Sat 11/30 Texas Tech vs West Virginia-2.561.5W 52 - 15
Fri 12/27 Texas Tech vs Arkansas-3.552.5L 26 - 39
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

BAY's OC Jake Spavital vs TTU's DC Tim DeRuyter     TTU's OC Zach Kittley vs BAY's DC Matt Powledge

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BAY#90 (.15)39% (102)34.440% (107)2.99 (91)11539% (90)2633.12 (118)#130 (.32)46% (118)26.746% (98)47% (123)4.36 (116)28.91.31.3
TTU#92 (.15)42% (59)37.647% (26)3.36 (17)16339% (97)2243.91 (70)#51 (.16)41% (54)34.842% (63)40% (51)3.46 (42)49.91.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BAY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TTU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BAY Offense1234.43239.5%3.121.3203781152633.346%54%40%39%18%.15
TTU Defense1334.835.740.9%3.461.3 - - - - - 48%51%42%40%15%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BAY Defense1226.730.745.7%4.361.3 - - - - - 54%45%46%47%17%.32
TTU Offense1337.643.742.5%3.911.8223871632244.547%51%47%39%15%.15

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Baylor1231:4219.836%46%4.128.91.31.351.5228.6
Texas Tech1328:4521.940%65%5.449.91.81.35.22.2330
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BAY Offense1246% (99)40% (107)34.4114.83.313 (108).09 (101)2.99 (91)74% (63)12% (103)1.03 (53)
TTU Defense1348% (42)42% (63) - - - - .15 (73)3.14 (76)61% (11)9% (101)1 (74)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BAY Defense1254% (114)46% (98) - - - - .24 (115)3.27 (103)70% (51)11% (53)1.16 (121)
TTU Offense1347% (90)47% (26)36.5162.84.517 (81).21 (32)3.36 (17)76% (47)7% (12)0.99 (69)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BAY Offense1254% (31)39% (90)21.936.82637.11215 (96)7 (21).22 (90)1.6 (79)34% (109)26% (103).18 (111)6% (77)1.8 (123)
TTU Defense1351% (88)40% (51) - - - - - - 13 (26).21 (37)1.5 (22)30% (100)28% (42).32 (74)6% (71)2.2 (108)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BAY Defense1245% (21)47% (123) - - - - - - 7 (111).47 (131)1.7 (107)30% (101)38% (129).52 (130)6% (75)2.2 (102)
TTU Offense1351% (46)39% (97)21.836.2223.86.210.224 (41)18 (128).16 (111)1.5 (116)30% (44)27% (94).24 (97)8% (118)1.9 (120)

Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: #NR
Baylor's Offense Rating: #NR
Baylor's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 758.00 #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Baylor's 2024 Expected Record: -
Baylor's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #38
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #63

Baylor's SP+ Ratings
Baylor's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #38
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #63

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Baylor:    Texas Tech: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Baylor: 8.4   Texas Tech: 4.3




Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 2 #NR
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: #NR
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 844.00 #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Texas Tech's 2024 Expected Record: -

Texas Tech's SP+ Ratings
Texas Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #54
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #95

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Baylor Scoring
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 32
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.7

Baylor's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Baylor 35
Texas Tech 32

Projected Total Points: 67
Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 37.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.7
Defense: 34.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.7

Texas Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19Texas Tech35Baylor59BaylorTexas Tech -4.5Baylor56.0Over
202310/07Baylor14Texas Tech39Texas TechTexas Tech -2.5Texas Tech59.5Under
202210/29Texas Tech17Baylor45BaylorTexas Tech -1.5Baylor61.0Over
202111/27Baylor27Texas Tech24BaylorBaylor -14Texas Tech51.5Under
202011/14Texas Tech24Baylor23Texas TechTexas Tech -1Push54.5Under
201910/12Baylor33Texas Tech30BaylorBaylor -10.5Texas Tech58.5Over
201811/24Texas Tech24Baylor35BaylorTexas Tech -6Baylor63.5Under
201711/11Baylor24Texas Tech38Texas TechTexas Tech -9.5Texas Tech67.5Under
201611/25Texas Tech54Baylor35Texas TechBaylor -2.5Texas Tech83.0Over
201510/03Baylor63Texas Tech35BaylorBaylor -15.5Baylor88.0Over
201411/29Texas Tech46Baylor48BaylorBaylor -21.5Texas Tech0
201311/16Baylor63Texas Tech34BaylorBaylor -27Baylor0
201211/24Texas Tech45Baylor52Baylor
201111/26Baylor66Texas Tech42Baylor
201010/09Texas Tech45Baylor38Texas Tech
200911/28Baylor13Texas Tech20Texas Tech
200811/29Texas Tech35Baylor28Texas Tech
200711/03Baylor7Texas Tech38Texas Tech
200611/04Texas Tech55Baylor21Texas Tech
200510/29Baylor0Texas Tech28Texas Tech
200411/06Texas Tech42Baylor17Texas Tech
200311/08Baylor14Texas Tech62Texas Tech
200211/02Texas Tech62Baylor11Texas Tech
200110/27Baylor19Texas Tech63Texas Tech
200010/06Texas Tech28Baylor0Texas Tech
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas Tech1565 Overs
Baylor1055 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 124 - 72 - 52 - 2
Road Teams12 - 137 - 42 - 25 - 2

(#NR) Baylor Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #38
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #63
Talent Rating: 758.00 #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -


Baylor Notes
(12/28) Signed QB W White (4* Aub Fr)
(12/7) Missed B12 title game due to Col hail mary
(11/25) 5 str W's, Off awful vs Hou, Def forced 4 TOs
(11/18) QB Fynn was a disaster, Robertson v good
(11/18) 4 str W's, Off exp @ WVU, Run D bad but held on
(11/16) Aranda back in 2025 official after WVU W
(11/3) 3 big W's (TCU), Robertson good, Rgame V good
(11/3) Aranda done a good job, should stay/bowl
Baylor     Ratings Matchup     Texas Tech
Power #NR
#NR
Off #NR
#NR
Def #NR
#NR
Talent #39
#23
SP+ #38
#54
SP+ Off #25
#25
SP+ Def #63
#95

Rematch from Week 8
Texas Tech -4.5 (56.0)
Baylor won at Texas Tech this year (59-35)

Previous Matchups
Baylor beat Texas Tech last year (59-35)
Texas Tech beat Baylor in 2023 (39-14)
Baylor beat Texas Tech in 2022 (45-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jones AT&T Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 70° - Wind: 21 mph


Team Information
Injuries: BAY | TTU
Depth Chart: BAY | TTU
Rosters: BAY | TTU
(#NR) Texas Tech Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2 #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #54
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #95
Talent Rating: 844.00 #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Expected Record: -


Texas Tech Notes
(12/5) Hired Tex St OC Mack Leftwich
(11/23) Morton torched bad Pokes. Pass Def was awful
(11/13) 10-0 lead gone vs CU, Rgame bad, Morton OK
(11/2) Big W @ ISU, still had 10 flags, 2 TOs, outgained
(10/30) QB Morton to start vs Iowa State
(10/30) Gagged 31-14 lead vs TCU, backup QB TOs cost
(10/27) QB Morton inj, Fr Hammond took over vs TCU
(10/19) Typical Tech, killed by Baylor. Shit coach/team




  
Baylor's OC Jake Spavital
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Sawyer Robertson22936862%30712888.3
Dequan Finn234354%307327.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bryson Washington1751028125.951
Dawson Pendergrass12167165.555
Richard Reese5824114.228
Sawyer Robertson6323043.745
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Josh Cameron527541014.547
Ashtyn Hawkins45567512.635
Monaray Baldwin27478517.746
Hal Presley31429313.853
Texas Tech's OC Zach Kittley
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Behren Morton29346363%33002787.1
Will Hammond152365%191108.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tahj Brooks2861505175.340
Cameron Dickey2515016.037
J'Koby Williams2611314.313
Cameran Brown883010.422
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Josh Kelly891023511.541
Caleb Douglas55765613.957
Coy Eakin45605613.470
Jalin Conyers25271510.836

Baylor's DC Matt Powledge
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matt Jones1019456
Keaton Thomas978420
Devyn Bobby753002
Jackie Marshall415250
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matt Jones1019456
Treven Ma'ae407431
Garmon Randolph335420
Keaton Thomas978420
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lorando Johnson1310010
Matt Jones1019456
Caden Jenkins250004
Texas Tech's DC Tim DeRuyter
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Rodriguez1049543
Ben Roberts745040
C.J. Baskerville603003
Maurion Horn462014
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Rodriguez1049543
Terrell Tilmon84400
Isaac Smith314310
Jayden Cofield184200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maurion Horn462014
Jacob Rodriguez1049543
C.J. Baskerville603003