Baylor at Houston Game Matchup
Baylor logo Baylor Bears at Houston CougarsHouston logo
Saturday, November 23rd 2024 (7:00 PM EST)
Baylor -7 (51.0) (-265)  Open: -6.5
Baylor 20 - Houston: 10  (Big 12)

 
Bears (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Dave Aranda (23 - 25)
Avg Score : 34 - 27 (32 - 31 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BAY 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -2    (SP+ -16.5)
PPG only: BAY: 29 - HOU: 20 (49)
BAY Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
BAY Travel: 165 miles
Cougars (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Willie Fritz (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 14 - 23 (15 - 18 @ Home)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Baylor's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Baylor vs Tarleton State-33.553.5W 45 - 3
Sat 9/7 Baylor at Utah+14.552.5L 12 - 23
Sat 9/14 Baylor vs Air Force-17.540.5W 31 - 3
Sat 9/21 Baylor at Colorado+2.552.5L 31 - 38
Sat 9/28 Baylor vs BYU-3.047.0L 28 - 34
Sat 10/5 Baylor at Iowa State+13.045.0L 21 - 43
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Baylor at Texas Tech+4.556.0W 59 - 35
Sat 10/26 Baylor vs Oklahoma State-7.064.5W 38 - 28
Sat 11/2 Baylor vs TCU-2.564.0W 37 - 34
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Baylor at West Virginia-2.060.0W 49 - 35
Sat 11/23 Baylor at Houston-7.051.0W 20 - 10
Sat 11/30 Baylor vs Kansas+2.562.5W 45 - 17
Tue 12/31 Baylor vs LSU-3.062.5L 31 - 44
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Houston's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Houston vs UNLV-3.056.0L 7 - 27
Sat 9/7 Houston at Oklahoma+27.548.5L 12 - 16
Sat 9/14 Houston vs Rice-3.543.5W 33 - 7
Sat 9/21 Houston at Cincinnati+4.047.5L 0 - 34
Sat 9/28 Houston vs Iowa State+16.043.0L 0 - 20
Fri 10/4 Houston at TCU+16.552.0W 30 - 19
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Houston vs Kansas+4.545.5L 14 - 42
Sat 10/26 Houston vs Utah+4.536.0W 17 - 14
Sat 11/2 Houston vs Kansas State+12.546.5W 24 - 19
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/15 Houston at Arizona+1.046.5L 3 - 27
Sat 11/23 Houston vs Baylor+7.051.0L 10 - 20
Sat 11/30 Houston at BYU+9.539.5L 18 - 30
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

BAY's OC Jake Spavital vs HOU's DC Shiel Wood     HOU's OC Kevin Barbay vs BAY's DC Matt Powledge

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BAY#90 (.15)39% (102)34.440% (107)2.99 (91)11539% (90)2633.12 (118)#130 (.32)46% (118)26.746% (98)47% (123)4.36 (116)28.91.31.3
HOU#104 (.13)40% (97)1439% (110)2.97 (96)11941% (75)2413.44 (100)#114 (.26)47% (126)22.947% (104)48% (130)4.26 (111)49.21.31.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BAY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
HOU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BAY Offense1234.43239.5%3.121.3203781152633.346%54%40%39%18%.15
HOU Defense1222.917.846.7%4.261.2 - - - - - 51%47%47%48%13%.26
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BAY Defense1226.730.745.7%4.361.3 - - - - - 54%45%46%47%17%.32
HOU Offense121415.239.7%3.441.319360119241442%56%39%41%14%.13

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Baylor1231:4219.836%46%4.128.91.31.351.5228.6
Houston1227:5619.236%26%5.749.21.31.251.9328.2
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BAY Offense1246% (99)40% (107)34.4114.83.313 (108).09 (101)2.99 (91)74% (63)12% (103)1.03 (53)
HOU Defense1251% (89)47% (104) - - - - .23 (111)3.24 (101)75% (79)8% (110)1.05 (93)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BAY Defense1254% (114)46% (98) - - - - .24 (115)3.27 (103)70% (51)11% (53)1.16 (121)
HOU Offense1242% (115)39% (110)29.9118.8410 (124).06 (116)2.97 (96)59% (129)9% (57)0.98 (82)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BAY Offense1254% (31)39% (90)21.936.82637.11215 (96)7 (21).22 (90)1.6 (79)34% (109)26% (103).18 (111)6% (77)1.8 (123)
HOU Defense1247% (40)48% (130) - - - - - - 9 (87).35 (108)1.5 (27)30% (98)38% (128).47 (125)4% (124)2.1 (91)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BAY Defense1245% (21)47% (123) - - - - - - 7 (111).47 (131)1.7 (107)30% (101)38% (129).52 (130)6% (75)2.2 (102)
HOU Offense1256% (24)41% (75)21.733.9241.47.111.124 (41)13 (97).25 (77)1.5 (86)34% (94)25% (111).18 (107)5% (20)2.1 (56)

Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: #NR
Baylor's Offense Rating: #NR
Baylor's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 758.00 #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Baylor's 2024 Expected Record: -
Baylor's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #38
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #63

Baylor's SP+ Ratings
Baylor's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #38
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #63

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Baylor:    Houston: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Baylor: 8.4   Houston: -8.2




Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: 2 #NR
Houston's Offense Rating: #NR
Houston's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 608.00 #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Houston's 2024 Expected Record: -

Houston's SP+ Ratings
Houston's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.1 #118
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #54

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Baylor Scoring
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 32
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.7

Baylor's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Baylor 29
Houston 20

Projected Total Points: 49
Houston Scoring
Offense: 14 PPG
Offense at Home: 15.2
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.8

Houston's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23Houston10Baylor20BaylorBaylor -7Baylor51.0Under
202311/04Baylor24Houston25HoustonBaylor -3Houston58.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Houston110 Overs
Baylor112 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 20 - 20 - 10 - 1
Road Teams2 - 02 - 01 - 01 - 0

(#NR) Baylor Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #38
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #63
Talent Rating: 758.00 #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -


Baylor Notes
(12/28) Signed QB W White (4* Aub Fr)
(12/7) Missed B12 title game due to Col hail mary
(11/25) 5 str W's, Off awful vs Hou, Def forced 4 TOs
(11/18) QB Fynn was a disaster, Robertson v good
(11/18) 4 str W's, Off exp @ WVU, Run D bad but held on
(11/16) Aranda back in 2025 official after WVU W
(11/3) 3 big W's (TCU), Robertson good, Rgame V good
(11/3) Aranda done a good job, should stay/bowl
Baylor     Ratings Matchup     Houston
Power #NR
#NR
Off #NR
#NR
Def #NR
#NR
Talent #39
#74
SP+ #38
#101
SP+ Off #25
#118
SP+ Def #63
#54

Rematch from Week 13
Baylor 7.0 (51.0)
Baylor won at Houston this year (20-10)

Previous Matchups
Baylor beat Houston last year (20-10)
Houston beat Baylor in 2023 (25-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in O'Quinn Field at TDECU Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 65° - Wind: 11 mph


Team Information
Injuries: BAY | HOU
Depth Chart: BAY | HOU
Rosters: BAY | HOU
(#NR) Houston Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2 #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Offense SP+ Rating: 18.1 #118
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #54
Talent Rating: 608.00 #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Expected Record: -


Houston Notes
(12/27) Signed QB Weigman (A&M) & more
(12/14) Hired DC A. Armstrong (UF DC 23-24)
(12/5) Fired OC Kevin Barbay
(12/5) Hired OC Slade Nagle, ST/TE coach @ LSU
(11/25) 4 TOs, 3-10 on 3rd, 239 total yards in bad Bay L
(11/25) Def played great vs Bay, forced 3 INTs, Off sucks
(11/18) Regress vs Zona, Off abysmal, 3 TOs, Def OK
(11/2) Huge W over K St. Chris 11-11, Run D great




  
Baylor's OC Jake Spavital
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Sawyer Robertson22936862%30712888.3
Dequan Finn234354%307327.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bryson Washington1751028125.951
Dawson Pendergrass12167165.555
Richard Reese5824114.228
Sawyer Robertson6323043.745
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Josh Cameron527541014.547
Ashtyn Hawkins45567512.635
Monaray Baldwin27478517.746
Hal Presley31429313.853
Houston's OC Kevin Barbay
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Donovan Smith8713365%867486.5
Zeon Chriss8313064%824486.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Re'Shaun Sanford II9444414.738
Zeon Chriss11338143.471
Stacy Sneed6030815.165
J'Marion Burnette4318204.254
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Stephon Johnson Jr.32402212.644
Joseph Manjack22351316.057
Mekhi Mews2925318.757
Maliq Carr1918619.823

Baylor's DC Matt Powledge
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matt Jones1019456
Keaton Thomas978420
Devyn Bobby753002
Jackie Marshall415250
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matt Jones1019456
Treven Ma'ae407431
Garmon Randolph335420
Keaton Thomas978420
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lorando Johnson1310010
Matt Jones1019456
Caden Jenkins250004
Houston's DC Shiel Wood
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Batton948330
A.J. Haulcy740007
Jamal Morris635100
Kentrell Webb541003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keith Cooper Jr.469472
Michael Batton948330
Brandon Mack395320
Anthony Holmes Jr.359350
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
A.J. Haulcy740007
Jeremiah Wilson244004
Ajani Carter221103