Baylor vs LSU Game Matchup
Baylor logo Baylor Bears vs LSU TigersLSU logo
Tuesday, December 31st 2024 (3:30 PM EST)
Baylor -3 (62.5) (-155)  Open: 0.0
LSU 44 - Baylor: 31  (Kinder's Texas Bowl)

 
Bears (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Dave Aranda (23 - 25)
Avg Score : 34 - 27 (32 - 31 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Tigers (9 - 4) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (20 - 7)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (32 - 21 @ Home)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Baylor's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Baylor vs Tarleton State-33.553.5W 45 - 3
Sat 9/7 Baylor at Utah+14.552.5L 12 - 23
Sat 9/14 Baylor vs Air Force-17.540.5W 31 - 3
Sat 9/21 Baylor at Colorado+2.552.5L 31 - 38
Sat 9/28 Baylor vs BYU-3.047.0L 28 - 34
Sat 10/5 Baylor at Iowa State+13.045.0L 21 - 43
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Baylor at Texas Tech+4.556.0W 59 - 35
Sat 10/26 Baylor vs Oklahoma State-7.064.5W 38 - 28
Sat 11/2 Baylor vs TCU-2.564.0W 37 - 34
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Baylor at West Virginia-2.060.0W 49 - 35
Sat 11/23 Baylor at Houston-7.051.0W 20 - 10
Sat 11/30 Baylor vs Kansas+2.562.5W 45 - 17
Tue 12/31 Baylor vs LSU-3.062.5L 31 - 44
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 3, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
LSU's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sun 9/1 LSU vs USC-4.066.5L 20 - 27
Sat 9/7 LSU vs Nicholls-50.562.0W 44 - 21
Sat 9/14 LSU at South Carolina-7.050.0W 36 - 33
Sat 9/21 LSU vs UCLA-21.556.5W 34 - 17
Sat 9/28 LSU vs South Alabama-21.064.5W 42 - 10
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 LSU vs Ole Miss+3.564.5W 29 - 26
Sat 10/19 LSU at Arkansas-3.057.0W 34 - 10
Sat 10/26 LSU at Texas A&M+2.054.5L 23 - 38
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 LSU vs Alabama+2.557.5L 13 - 42
Sat 11/16 LSU at Florida-3.057.0L 16 - 27
Sat 11/23 LSU vs Vanderbilt-10.053.0W 24 - 17
Sat 11/30 LSU vs Oklahoma-4.547.5W 37 - 17
Tue 12/31 LSU vs Baylor+3.062.5W 44 - 31
Total: Elite: 3, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

BAY's OC Jake Spavital vs LSU's DC Blake Baker     LSU's OC Joe Sloan vs BAY's DC Matt Powledge

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BAY#90 (.15)39% (102)34.440% (107)2.99 (91)11539% (90)2633.12 (118)#130 (.32)46% (118)26.746% (98)47% (123)4.36 (116)28.91.31.3
LSU#1 (.52)56% (2)30.558% (1)3.9 (1)19754% (3)3094.86 (8)#126 (.32)45% (105)24.345% (92)45% (113)4.55 (126)48.20.51
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BAY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
LSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BAY Offense1234.43239.5%3.121.3203781152633.346%54%40%39%18%.15
LSU Defense1324.321.444.8%4.551 - - - - - 49%51%45%45%16%.32
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BAY Defense1226.730.745.7%4.361.3 - - - - - 54%45%46%47%17%.32
LSU Offense1330.531.956.1%4.860.5245061973096.347%53%58%54%11%.52

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Baylor1231:4219.836%46%4.128.91.31.351.5228.6
LSU1326:3723.756%43%5.748.20.515.12129.2
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BAY Offense1246% (99)40% (107)34.4114.83.313 (108).09 (101)2.99 (91)74% (63)12% (103)1.03 (53)
LSU Defense1349% (51)45% (92) - - - - .24 (113)3.22 (97)91% (132)10% (79)1.07 (99)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BAY Defense1254% (114)46% (98) - - - - .24 (115)3.27 (103)70% (51)11% (53)1.16 (121)
LSU Offense1347% (95)58% (1)31.21976.332 (10).45 (1)3.9 (1)69% (103)6% (2)1.08 (27)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BAY Offense1254% (31)39% (90)21.936.82637.11215 (96)7 (21).22 (90)1.6 (79)34% (109)26% (103).18 (111)6% (77)1.8 (123)
LSU Defense1351% (86)45% (113) - - - - - - 10 (67).41 (123)1.7 (112)32% (64)34% (118).56 (132)6% (54)2.5 (132)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BAY Defense1245% (21)47% (123) - - - - - - 7 (111).47 (131)1.7 (107)30% (101)38% (129).52 (130)6% (75)2.2 (102)
LSU Offense1353% (38)54% (3)19.628.2308.61115.741 (2)4 (2).59 (4)1.7 (33)24% (4)45% (1).74 (1)5% (29)2.1 (40)

Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: #NR
Baylor's Offense Rating: #NR
Baylor's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 758.00 #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Baylor's 2024 Expected Record: -
Baylor's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #38
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #63

Baylor's SP+ Ratings
Baylor's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #38
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #63

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Baylor:    LSU:

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Baylor: 8.4   LSU: 15.9




LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: #NR
LSU's Offense Rating: #NR
LSU's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 924.00 #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
LSU's 2024 Expected Record: -

LSU's SP+ Ratings
LSU's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.9 #15
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #11
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Baylor Scoring
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 32
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.7

Baylor's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Baylor 29
LSU 29

Projected Total Points: 58
LSU Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.9
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4

LSU's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202412/31LSU44Baylor31LSUBaylor -3LSU62.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
LSU111 Overs
Baylor000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0

Baylor Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2024Texas Bowl Baylor vs LSU-3.062.5L 31 - 44
2022Forces Bowl Baylor vs Air Force-3.542.0L 15 - 30
2021Sugar Bowl Baylor vs Ole Miss+1.060.5W 21 - 7
2019Sugar Bowl Baylor vs Georgia+4.044.0L 14 - 26
2018Texas Bowl Baylor vs Vanderbilt+4.056.5W 45 - 38
LSU Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2024Texas Bowl LSU vs Baylor+3.062.5W 44 - 31
2023Reliaquest Bowl LSU vs Wisconsin-9.559.5W 35 - 31
2022Citrus Bowl LSU vs Purdue-15.054.0W 63 - 7
2021Texas Bowl LSU vs Kansas State+9.547.0L 20 - 42
2019CFP Nat'l Title LSU vs Clemson-5.067.0W 42 - 25
2019CFP Semifinal LSU vs Oklahoma-13.075.0W 63 - 28
2018Fiesta Bowl LSU vs UCF-7.557.5W 40 - 32
  
(#NR) Baylor Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #38
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #63
Talent Rating: 758.00 #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

Baylor has played in 4 Bowls in the last 5 years (1 - 3)
Baylor has played in 12 Bowls since 2000 (6 - 6)

Baylor Notes
(12/28) Signed QB W White (4* Aub Fr)
(12/7) Missed B12 title game due to Col hail mary
(11/25) 5 str W's, Off awful vs Hou, Def forced 4 TOs
(11/18) QB Fynn was a disaster, Robertson v good
(11/18) 4 str W's, Off exp @ WVU, Run D bad but held on
(11/16) Aranda back in 2025 official after WVU W
(11/3) 3 big W's (TCU), Robertson good, Rgame V good
(11/3) Aranda done a good job, should stay/bowl
Baylor     Ratings Matchup     LSU
Power #NR
#NR
Off #NR
#NR
Def #NR
#NR
Talent #39
#16
SP+ #38
#15
SP+ Off #25
#11
SP+ Def #63
#33

Rematch from Week 1
Baylor 3.0 (62.5)
LSU won vs Baylor this year (44-31)

Previous Matchups
LSU beat Baylor last year (44-31)

Weather Forecast
Playing in NRG Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 71°

Team Information
Injuries: BAY | LSU
Depth Chart: BAY | LSU
Rosters: BAY | LSU
(#NR) LSU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: 15.9 #15
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #11
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33
Talent Rating: 924.00 #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Expected Record: -

LSU has played in 2 CFP Playoff Games (2 - 0)
LSU has played in 6 Bowls in the last 5 years (5 - 1)
LSU has played in 25 Bowls since 2000 (17 - 8)

LSU Notes
(12/2) Nuss cooked OU, Rgame bad, Def v good
(11/24) Beat Vandy by 7, had 27 1st's and 475 yds
(11/18) 3 str L's, Off regressing, Kelly seems lost
(11/9) Killed by Bama. Nuss sucks, Def sucks, Rgame sucks
(10/27) No run game, Nuss under fire. OL bad vs A&M
(10/23) Kelly is 1-6 vs ranked teams away from LSU
(10/20) Nuss pressured 22% and sacked only once, CFB #1
(10/13) Nuss clutch vs Ole Miss, Rgame stuffed. Big W




  
Baylor's OC Jake Spavital
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Sawyer Robertson22936862%30712888.3
Dequan Finn234354%307327.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bryson Washington1751028125.951
Dawson Pendergrass12167165.555
Richard Reese5824114.228
Sawyer Robertson6323043.745
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Josh Cameron527541014.547
Ashtyn Hawkins45567512.635
Monaray Baldwin27478517.746
Hal Presley31429313.853
LSU's OC Joe Sloan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Garrett Nussmeier33652464%403929127.7
Rickie Collins55100%35007.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Caden Durham13875465.586
Josh Williams11748264.123
Kaleb Jackson4714903.219
Zavion Thomas97608.426
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Aaron Anderson61875514.376
Kyren Lacy58866914.935
Mason Taylor5554629.933
C.J. Daniels42480011.434

Baylor's DC Matt Powledge
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matt Jones1019456
Keaton Thomas978420
Devyn Bobby753002
Jackie Marshall415250
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matt Jones1019456
Treven Ma'ae407431
Garmon Randolph335420
Keaton Thomas978420
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lorando Johnson1310010
Matt Jones1019456
Caden Jenkins250004
LSU's DC Blake Baker
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Whit Weeks1118344
Greg Penn III835280
Bradyn Swinson5713983
Jardin Gilbert522102
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bradyn Swinson5713983
Savion Jones407482
Whit Weeks1118344
Dominick McKinley73310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ashton Stamps5000211
Whit Weeks1118344
Zy Alexander333104