Auburn at Baylor Game Matchup
Auburn logo Auburn Tigers at Baylor BearsBaylor logo
Saturday, August 30th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
McLane Stadium - Waco, TX

 
Tigers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (11 - 14)
Avg Score : 28 - 21 (17 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#24)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 4) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Our Line: Auburn -9.5    (SP+ -4)
PPG only: AUB: 27 - BAY: 28 (55)
AUB Win prob: 49% | Cover: 49%
AUB Travel: 684 miles
Bears (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dave Aranda (31 - 29)
Avg Score : 34 - 27 (37 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.6 - 4.4 (#29)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 6) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
 
Auburn's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/30 Auburn at Baylor
Sat 9/6 Auburn vs Ball State
Sat 9/13 Auburn vs South Alabama
Sat 9/20 Auburn at Oklahoma
Sat 9/27 Auburn at Texas A&M
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Auburn vs Georgia
Sat 10/18 Auburn vs Missouri
Sat 10/25 Auburn at Arkansas
Sat 11/1 Auburn vs Kentucky
Sat 11/8 Auburn at Vanderbilt
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Auburn vs Mercer
Sat 11/29 Auburn vs Alabama
Total: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Baylor's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/30 Baylor vs Auburn
Sat 9/6 Baylor at SMU
Sat 9/13 Baylor vs Samford
Sat 9/20 Baylor vs Arizona State
Sat 9/27 Baylor at Oklahoma State
Sat 10/4 Baylor vs Kansas State
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Baylor at TCU
Sat 10/25 Baylor at Cincinnati
Sat 11/1 Baylor vs UCF
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Baylor vs Utah
Sat 11/22 Baylor at Arizona
Sat 11/29 Baylor vs Houston
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

AUB's OC Derrick Nix vs BAY's DC Matt Powledge     BAY's OC Jake Spavital vs AUB's DC D. J. Durkin

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AUB#43 (.24)45% (40)27.848% (21)3.32 (24)16642% (67)2643.42 (110)#21 (.09)38% (19)21.338% (18)38% (34)3.35 (27)49.31.81.1
BAY#31 (.25)47% (24)34.446% (37)3.19 (43)17448% (14)2274.28 (30)#74 (.18)39% (38)26.738% (14)42% (78)3.85 (77)58.111.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AUB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BAY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AUB Offense1227.81744.9%3.421.821430166264548%52%48%42%17%.24
BAY Defense1326.719.839.4%3.851.6 - - - - - 54%46%38%42%15%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AUB Defense1221.322.537.8%3.351.1 - - - - - 53%47%38%38%15%.09
BAY Offense1334.437.346.8%4.28121401174227552%48%46%48%12%.25

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Auburn1227:1320.941%47%5.849.31.81.15.72.3127.9
Baylor1325:4820.644%61%5.858.111.65.11.8231.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AUB Offense1248% (85)48% (21)33.4165.7513 (105).16 (55)3.32 (24)69% (95)10% (68)0.92 (90)
BAY Defense1354% (107)38% (14) - - - - .11 (64)3.03 (74)82% (122)9% (84)1.03 (92)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AUB Defense1253% (98)38% (18) - - - - -.02 (7)2.49 (6)80% (108)10% (81)0.93 (43)
BAY Offense1352% (61)46% (37)35.1174.3523 (52).18 (41)3.19 (43)77% (43)7% (9)1.01 (50)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AUB Offense1252% (47)42% (67)19.230.8263.98.613.827 (20)13 (103).31 (46)1.6 (39)31% (55)32% (70).41 (34)7% (113)1.9 (101)
BAY Defense1346% (29)42% (78) - - - - - - 13 (31).26 (80)1.7 (99)34% (39)31% (77).38 (97)6% (81)2.1 (82)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AUB Defense1247% (42)38% (34) - - - - - - 8 (93).22 (62)1.7 (104)35% (19)28% (33).21 (31)6% (78)2.1 (84)
BAY Offense1348% (75)48% (14)17.227.8227.18.213.229 (12)9 (48).37 (22)1.6 (49)29% (29)36% (24).37 (55)6% (54)2 (91)

Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 23.41 #11
Auburn's Offense Rating: 24.15 #15
Auburn's Defense Rating: 0.74 #18
2025 Talent Rating: 1000.00 #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 48% #11
Auburn's 2025 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Auburn's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #23
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #42
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #19

Auburn's SP+ Ratings
Auburn's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #23
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #42
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #19

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 945.13
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93

Power Ratings Matchup
Auburn: 23.41   Baylor: 13.77

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Auburn: 12.1   Baylor: 8.0




Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: 13.77 #33
Baylor's Offense Rating: 22.79 #21
Baylor's Defense Rating: 11.02 #50
2025 Talent Rating: 820.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #47
Baylor's 2025 Expected Record: 7.6 - 4.4

Baylor's SP+ Ratings
Baylor's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.0 #36
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #17
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #57

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 774.38
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93


Auburn Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.5

Auburn's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Baylor 28
Auburn 27

Projected Total Points: 55
Baylor Scoring
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.3
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.8

Baylor's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Baylor000 Overs
Auburn000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#11) Auburn Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 23.41 #11
Offense Rating: 24.15 #15
Defense Rating: 0.74 #18
Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #23
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #42
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #19
Talent Rating: 1000.00 #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 48% #11
Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0

Auburn     Ratings Matchup     Baylor
Power #11
#33
Off #15
#21
Def #18
#50
Talent #11
#41
SP+ #23
#36
SP+ Off #42
#17
SP+ Def #19
#57

Weather Forecast
Playing in McLane Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: AUB | BAY
Depth Chart: AUB | BAY
Rosters: AUB | BAY
(#33) Baylor Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 13.77 #33
Offense Rating: 22.79 #21
Defense Rating: 11.02 #50
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.0 #36
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #17
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #57
Talent Rating: 820.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #47
Expected Record: 7.6 - 4.4





  
Auburn's OC Derrick Nix
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ashton Daniels17027163%170010126.3
Jackson Arnold15424663%14211235.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Durell Robinson10773186.868
Ashton Daniels14866934.567
Jackson Arnold15044433.047
Damari Alston5227635.336
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eric Singleton Jr.56754313.557
Cam Coleman37598816.263
Horatio Fields39463411.942
Malcolm Simmons40451311.357
Baylor's OC Jake Spavital
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Sawyer Robertson22936862%30712888.3
Walker White2540%18003.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bryson Washington1751028125.951
Dawson Pendergrass12167165.555
Richard Reese5824114.228
Sawyer Robertson6323043.745
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Josh Cameron527541014.547
Kole Wilson43630414.753
Michael Trigg30395313.242
Bryson Washington2221719.923

Auburn's DC D. J. Durkin
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Raion Strader5300017
Dallas Walker IV514010
Keldric Faulk4511771
Taye Seymore453002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keldric Faulk4511771
Chris Murray3412620
Demarcus Riddick275321
Quientrail Jamison-Travis143200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Raion Strader5300017
Kayin Lee320007
Jay Crawford150007
Baylor's DC Matt Powledge
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Travion Barnes12911340
Keaton Thomas978420
Devyn Bobby753002
Devin Turner512003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matthew Fobbs-White218401
Keaton Thomas978420
Travion Barnes12911340
Phoenix Jackson455254
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Phoenix Jackson455254
Caden Jenkins250004
Devin Turner512003