Kansas State at Baylor Game Matchup
Kansas State logo Kansas State Wildcats at Baylor BearsBaylor logo
Saturday, October 4th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
McLane Stadium - Waco, TX  (Big 12)

 
Wildcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Chris Klieman (47 - 28)
Avg Score : 31 - 23 (27 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 2.9 (#16)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 4)
Our Line: Kansas State -0.5    (SP+ -5.5)
PPG only: KSU: 29 - BAY: 29 (58)
KSU Win prob: 49% | Cover: 49%
KSU Travel: 529 miles
Bears (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dave Aranda (31 - 29)
Avg Score : 34 - 27 (37 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.6 - 4.4 (#29)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 6) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
 
Kansas State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/23 Kansas State vs Iowa State
Sat 8/30 Kansas State vs North Dakota
Sat 9/6 Kansas State vs Army
Sat 9/13 Kansas State at Arizona
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Kansas State vs UCF
Sat 10/4 Kansas State at Baylor
Sat 10/11 Kansas State vs TCU
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Kansas State at Kansas
Sat 11/1 Kansas State vs Texas Tech
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Kansas State at Oklahoma State
Sat 11/22 Kansas State at Utah
Sat 11/29 Kansas State vs Colorado
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Baylor's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/30 Baylor vs Auburn
Sat 9/6 Baylor at SMU
Sat 9/13 Baylor vs Samford
Sat 9/20 Baylor vs Arizona State
Sat 9/27 Baylor at Oklahoma State
Sat 10/4 Baylor vs Kansas State
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Baylor at TCU
Sat 10/25 Baylor at Cincinnati
Sat 11/1 Baylor vs UCF
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Baylor vs Utah
Sat 11/22 Baylor at Arizona
Sat 11/29 Baylor vs Houston
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

KSU's OC Matt Wells vs BAY's DC Matt Powledge     BAY's OC Jake Spavital vs KSU's DC Joe Klanderman

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KSU#17 (.3)44% (54)30.846% (42)3.37 (14)19042% (68)1964.08 (53)#30 (.11)36% (6)23.434% (4)38% (32)3.54 (42)41.31.21.1
BAY#31 (.25)47% (24)34.446% (37)3.19 (43)17448% (14)2274.28 (30)#74 (.18)39% (38)26.738% (14)42% (78)3.85 (77)58.111.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BAY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KSU Offense1330.826.544%4.081.2183871901966.152%48%46%42%12%.3
BAY Defense1326.719.839.4%3.851.6 - - - - - 54%46%38%42%15%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KSU Defense1323.427.335.9%3.541.1 - - - - - 47%53%34%38%17%.11
BAY Offense1334.437.346.8%4.28121401174227552%48%46%48%12%.25

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kansas State1326:4518.540%56%541.31.21.15.92.4327.6
Baylor1325:4820.644%61%5.858.111.65.11.8231.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KSU Offense1352% (57)46% (42)31.5190.36.118 (78).27 (11)3.37 (14)68% (102)8% (30)1.14 (11)
BAY Defense1354% (107)38% (14) - - - - .11 (64)3.03 (74)82% (122)9% (84)1.03 (92)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KSU Defense1347% (31)34% (4) - - - - -.01 (9)2.6 (15)77% (97)11% (39)1.01 (83)
BAY Offense1352% (61)46% (37)35.1174.3523 (52).18 (41)3.19 (43)77% (43)7% (9)1.01 (50)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KSU Offense1348% (76)42% (68)15.927196.47.312.322 (46)9 (48).33 (36)1.7 (31)31% (56)31% (78).36 (60)5% (27)2 (79)
BAY Defense1346% (29)42% (78) - - - - - - 13 (31).26 (80)1.7 (99)34% (39)31% (77).38 (97)6% (81)2.1 (82)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KSU Defense1353% (104)38% (32) - - - - - - 9 (76).24 (71)1.8 (130)39% (2)30% (51).35 (89)6% (70)2.2 (119)
BAY Offense1348% (75)48% (14)17.227.8227.18.213.229 (12)9 (48).37 (22)1.6 (49)29% (29)36% (24).37 (55)6% (54)2 (91)

Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: 14.29 #24
Kansas State's Offense Rating: 19.81 #39
Kansas State's Defense Rating: 5.52 #27
2025 Talent Rating: 848.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #54
Kansas State's 2025 Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9
Kansas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.7 #19
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.4 #20
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #28

Kansas State's SP+ Ratings
Kansas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.7 #19
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.4 #20
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #28

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 774.38
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas State: 14.29   Baylor: 13.77

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas State: 13.7   Baylor: 8.0




Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: 13.77 #33
Baylor's Offense Rating: 22.79 #21
Baylor's Defense Rating: 11.02 #50
2025 Talent Rating: 820.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #47
Baylor's 2025 Expected Record: 7.6 - 4.4

Baylor's SP+ Ratings
Baylor's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.0 #36
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #17
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #57

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 774.38
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93


Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.5
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.3

Kansas State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Kansas State 29
Baylor 29

Projected Total Points: 58
Baylor Scoring
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.3
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.8

Baylor's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/11Kansas State59Baylor25Kansas StateKansas State -20.5Kansas State55.5Over
202211/12Baylor3Kansas State31Kansas StateBaylor -2.5Kansas State52.0Under
202111/20Kansas State10Baylor20BaylorKansas State -2.5Baylor49.5Under
202011/28Baylor32Kansas State31BaylorBaylor -5.5Kansas State44.5Over
201910/05Kansas State12Baylor31BaylorBaylor -1Baylor48.5Under
201810/06Baylor37Kansas State34BaylorBaylor -3.5Kansas State54.0Over
201709/30Kansas State33Baylor20Kansas StateKansas State -15Baylor57.5Under
201611/19Baylor21Kansas State42Kansas StateKansas State -2Kansas State58.5Over
201511/05Kansas State24Baylor31BaylorBaylor -18.5Kansas State67.0Under
201412/06Baylor38Kansas State27BaylorBaylor -9Baylor0
201310/12Kansas State25Baylor35BaylorBaylor -10.5Kansas State0
201211/17Baylor52Kansas State24Baylor
201110/01Kansas State36Baylor35Kansas State
201010/23Baylor47Kansas State42Baylor
200710/27Kansas State51Baylor13Kansas State
200609/30Baylor17Kansas State3Baylor
200311/01Kansas State38Baylor10Kansas State
200210/26Baylor10Kansas State44Kansas State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Baylor1044 Overs
Kansas State875 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 74 - 72 - 52 - 2
Road Teams7 - 117 - 42 - 25 - 2

(#24) Kansas State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 14.29 #24
Offense Rating: 19.81 #39
Defense Rating: 5.52 #27
Overall SP+ Rating: 13.7 #19
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.4 #20
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #28
Talent Rating: 848.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #54
Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9

Kansas State     Ratings Matchup     Baylor
Power #24
#33
Off #39
#21
Def #27
#50
Talent #32
#41
SP+ #19
#36
SP+ Off #20
#17
SP+ Def #28
#57

Previous Matchups
Kansas State beat Baylor in 2023 (59-25)
Kansas State beat Baylor in 2022 (31-3)

Weather Forecast
Playing in McLane Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: KSU | BAY
Depth Chart: KSU | BAY
Rosters: KSU | BAY
(#33) Baylor Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 13.77 #33
Offense Rating: 22.79 #21
Defense Rating: 11.02 #50
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.0 #36
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #17
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #57
Talent Rating: 820.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #47
Expected Record: 7.6 - 4.4





  
Kansas State's OC Matt Wells
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Avery Johnson21737258%271225107.3
Jacob Knuth22100%18009.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Avery Johnson11360575.433
Dylan Edwards7454657.465
Joe Jackson3922715.832
Jayce Brown342014.034
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jayce Brown47823517.565
Caleb Medford18336318.747
Jaron Tibbs25305212.238
Garrett Oakley22236510.728
Baylor's OC Jake Spavital
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Sawyer Robertson22936862%30712888.3
Walker White2540%18003.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bryson Washington1751028125.951
Dawson Pendergrass12167165.555
Richard Reese5824114.228
Sawyer Robertson6323043.745
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Josh Cameron527541014.547
Kole Wilson43630414.753
Michael Trigg30395313.242
Bryson Washington2221719.923

Kansas State's DC Joe Klanderman
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Austin Romaine968242
VJ Payne644003
Desmond Purnell4610461
Amarion Fortenberry432006
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Desmond Purnell4610461
Tobi Osunsanmi196440
Chiddi Obiazor175433
Ryan Davis73321
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Amarion Fortenberry432006
Chiddi Obiazor175433
Zashon Rich120003
Baylor's DC Matt Powledge
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Travion Barnes12911340
Keaton Thomas978420
Devyn Bobby753002
Devin Turner512003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matthew Fobbs-White218401
Keaton Thomas978420
Travion Barnes12911340
Phoenix Jackson455254
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Phoenix Jackson455254
Caden Jenkins250004
Devin Turner512003