Houston at Baylor Game Matchup
Houston logo Houston Cougars at Baylor BearsBaylor logo
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
McLane Stadium - Waco, TX  (Big 12)

 
Cougars (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Willie Fritz (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 14 - 23 (13 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.6 - 6.4 (#56)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 5)
Our Line: Baylor -14    (SP+ -11)
PPG only: HOU: 20 - BAY: 29 (49)
HOU Win prob: 49% | Cover: 49%
HOU Travel: 165 miles
Bears (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dave Aranda (31 - 29)
Avg Score : 34 - 27 (37 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.6 - 4.4 (#29)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 6) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
 
Houston's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/28 Houston vs Stephen F. Austin
Sat 9/6 Houston at Rice
Sat 9/13 Houston vs Colorado
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Houston at Oregon State
Sat 10/4 Houston vs Texas Tech
Sat 10/11 Houston at Oklahoma State
Sat 10/18 Houston vs Arizona
Sat 10/25 Houston at Arizona State
Sat 11/1 Houston vs West Virginia
Sat 11/8 Houston at UCF
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Houston vs TCU
Sat 11/29 Houston at Baylor
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Baylor's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/30 Baylor vs Auburn
Sat 9/6 Baylor at SMU
Sat 9/13 Baylor vs Samford
Sat 9/20 Baylor vs Arizona State
Sat 9/27 Baylor at Oklahoma State
Sat 10/4 Baylor vs Kansas State
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Baylor at TCU
Sat 10/25 Baylor at Cincinnati
Sat 11/1 Baylor vs UCF
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Baylor vs Utah
Sat 11/22 Baylor at Arizona
Sat 11/29 Baylor vs Houston
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

HOU's OC Slade Nagle vs BAY's DC Matt Powledge     BAY's OC Jake Spavital vs HOU's DC Austin Armstrong

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HOU#133 (-)35% (129)1435% (130)2.52 (129)13737% (115)1532.57 (134)#51 (.14)40% (41)22.940% (40)39% (50)3.52 (39)51.92.31.6
BAY#31 (.25)47% (24)34.446% (37)3.19 (43)17448% (14)2274.28 (30)#74 (.18)39% (38)26.738% (14)42% (78)3.85 (77)58.111.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HOU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BAY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HOU Offense121412.635.3%2.572.3152891371533.957%42%35%37%21%-
BAY Defense1326.719.839.4%3.851.6 - - - - - 54%46%38%42%15%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HOU Defense1222.925.239.6%3.521.6 - - - - - 51%49%40%39%18%.14
BAY Offense1334.437.346.8%4.28121401174227552%48%46%48%12%.25

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Houston1230:1015.128%38%5.551.92.31.65.61.8227.7
Baylor1325:4820.644%61%5.858.111.65.11.8231.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HOU Offense1257% (22)35% (130)35.5136.63.99 (125) (122)2.52 (129)64% (119)16% (132)1.01 (49)
BAY Defense1354% (107)38% (14) - - - - .11 (64)3.03 (74)82% (122)9% (84)1.03 (92)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HOU Defense1251% (78)40% (40) - - - - .06 (34)2.8 (35)69% (41)12% (27)1 (75)
BAY Offense1352% (61)46% (37)35.1174.3523 (52).18 (41)3.19 (43)77% (43)7% (9)1.01 (50)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HOU Offense1242% (114)37% (115)15.223.3152.76.510.19 (128)17 (127).02 (131)1.4 (121)35% (120)20% (133)-.04 (134)5% (44)1.7 (130)
BAY Defense1346% (29)42% (78) - - - - - - 13 (31).26 (80)1.7 (99)34% (39)31% (77).38 (97)6% (81)2.1 (82)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HOU Defense1249% (59)39% (50) - - - - - - 12 (39).23 (66)1.7 (95)33% (55)32% (97).32 (79)6% (73)2 (57)
BAY Offense1348% (75)48% (14)17.227.8227.18.213.229 (12)9 (48).37 (22)1.6 (49)29% (29)36% (24).37 (55)6% (54)2 (91)

Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: -0.39 #75
Houston's Offense Rating: 10.74 #91
Houston's Defense Rating: 11.13 #51
2025 Talent Rating: 730.00 #64
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #46
Houston's 2025 Expected Record: 5.6 - 6.4
Houston's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.9 #78
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #109
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #34

Houston's SP+ Ratings
Houston's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.9 #78
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #109
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #34

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 774.38
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93

Power Ratings Matchup
Houston: -0.39   Baylor: 13.77

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Houston: -2.9   Baylor: 8.0




Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: 13.77 #33
Baylor's Offense Rating: 22.79 #21
Baylor's Defense Rating: 11.02 #50
2025 Talent Rating: 820.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #47
Baylor's 2025 Expected Record: 7.6 - 4.4

Baylor's SP+ Ratings
Baylor's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.0 #36
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #17
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #57

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 774.38
Average Power Five Talent: 862.84
Average FBS Talent: 688.93


Houston Scoring
Offense: 14 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.6
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.2

Houston's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Baylor 29
Houston 20

Projected Total Points: 49
Baylor Scoring
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.3
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.8

Baylor's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23Houston10Baylor20BaylorBaylor -7Baylor51.0Under
202311/04Baylor24Houston25HoustonBaylor -3Houston58.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Baylor110 Overs
Houston112 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 20 - 20 - 10 - 1
Road Teams2 - 02 - 01 - 01 - 0

(#75) Houston Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.39 #75
Offense Rating: 10.74 #91
Defense Rating: 11.13 #51
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.9 #78
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #109
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #34
Talent Rating: 730.00 #64
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #46
Expected Record: 5.6 - 6.4

Houston     Ratings Matchup     Baylor
Power #75
#33
Off #91
#21
Def #51
#50
Talent #64
#41
SP+ #78
#36
SP+ Off #109
#17
SP+ Def #34
#57

Previous Matchups
Baylor beat Houston last year (20-10)
Houston beat Baylor in 2023 (25-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in McLane Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: HOU | BAY
Depth Chart: HOU | BAY
Rosters: HOU | BAY
(#33) Baylor Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 13.77 #33
Offense Rating: 22.79 #21
Defense Rating: 11.02 #50
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.0 #36
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #17
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #57
Talent Rating: 820.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #47
Expected Record: 7.6 - 4.4





  
Houston's OC Slade Nagle
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Zeon Chriss8313064%824486.3
Conner Weigman6411456%819357.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dean Connors15978094.971
Re'Shaun Sanford II9444414.738
Zeon Chriss11338143.471
Stacy Sneed6030815.165
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Amare Thomas62670810.873
Harvey Broussard31486315.750
Dean Connors6147227.769
Stephon Johnson Jr.32402212.644
Baylor's OC Jake Spavital
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Sawyer Robertson22936862%30712888.3
Walker White2540%18003.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bryson Washington1751028125.951
Dawson Pendergrass12167165.555
Richard Reese5824114.228
Sawyer Robertson6323043.745
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Josh Cameron527541014.547
Kole Wilson43630414.753
Michael Trigg30395313.242
Bryson Washington2221719.923

Houston's DC Austin Armstrong
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Carmycah Glass754130
A.J. Haulcy740007
Kentrell Webb541003
Carlos Allen424310
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joshua Donald316310
Brandon Mack395320
Khalil Laufau154301
Carlos Allen424310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marc Stampley II422207
A.J. Haulcy740007
Will James352007
Baylor's DC Matt Powledge
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Travion Barnes12911340
Keaton Thomas978420
Devyn Bobby753002
Devin Turner512003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matthew Fobbs-White218401
Keaton Thomas978420
Travion Barnes12911340
Phoenix Jackson455254
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Phoenix Jackson455254
Caden Jenkins250004
Devin Turner512003